Weighing The Week Ahead: Why Is The Market So Quiet?

Jeff Miller
37.83K Followers

Summary

  • We have a light economic calendar, plenty of earnings news, and competition from Washington.
  • To the surprise of many, there has been little market reaction.
  • Many find the lack of movement to be ominous -- a dubious inference.
  • Great advice for investors: Match your market following to your time frame.
  • As usual, the market offers many great opportunities for the value conscious.

The economic calendar is light so attention will again focus on Q1 earnings reports. Non-financial news will, no doubt, take center stage. The biggest market story seems to be the lack of action, as shown in our updates below. That might be fine for you and for me, but not for the punditry. They are all scratching their heads in wonderment, asking:

Why is it so quiet?

Last Week Recap

In last week’s installment of WTWA, I suggested that the general focus would be on Q1 earnings and possible confirmation of recent economic data. There was a lot of competition from important non-financial news, but the earnings stories got plenty of play.

The Story in One Chart

I always start my personal review of the week by looking at a great chart. This week I am featuring Jill Mislinski, who packs a lot of relevant information into the weekly chart without sacrificing clarity.

In an amazingly quiet week, the market was unchanged and the overall trading range less than one percent. As always, our indicator snapshot in the quant section below summarizes volatility and the VIX index in various time frames.

Personal Note

I was delighted to learn that my company, NewArc Investments, Inc. and I were in the top 25 of Advisor Perspective’s list of Venerated Voices. We are honored to be in such impressive company.

Noteworthy

Education is one of the best ways to fight fraud. Pricenomics asks, What Kind of Online Fraud is Growing the Fastest? The post includes the expected provocative charts including this one.

#10 probably explains the changing demographic of those wanting to friend me on Facebook. Mrs. OldProf, glancing over my shoulder, commented that they did not look like the typical bridge player.

The News

Each week I break down events into good

This article was written by

37.83K Followers
Seeking Alpha mourns the passing of Jeff Miller, on May 7, 2021. During his time at Seeking Alpha, Jeff attracted a following of close to 40,000 readers and published more than 1,500 articles. He was a portfolio manager at Incline Investment Advisors, LLC. Jeff also was President of NewArc Investments, Inc., and served as a university professor.....................................................................................................................................Jeff is Portfolio Manager for Incline Investment Advisors, LLC.,manager of both individual and institutional investments. A registered investment advisor, he was formerly President of NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff is a former college professor with a hands-on, real world attitude. His quantitative modeling helped inform state and local officials in Wisconsin for more than a decade. A Public Policy analyst, he taught advanced research methods at the University of Wisconsin, and analyzed many issues related to state tax policy. Jeff began in the financial business as Research Director for a trading firm at the Chicago Board Options Exchange. He investigated anomalies in the standard option pricing models, taught classes for beginning options traders, and developed new forecasting techniques. In 1991 he established a general research consultancy, working with professional traders at all of the Chicago financial exchanges. In 1998 he started NewArc Investments, Inc. Jeff has a commitment to the specific needs of individual investors. It is not a one-size-fits all approach, but one that emphasizes the unique circumstances of each client. Jeff also serves on the board of a small technology company. He occasionally serves as an expert witness in legal cases involving financial markets and hedging.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

As I mentioned, I will be shopping the health care sector looking for covered writes.

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