Halliburton: Nowhere Near As Bad

Apr. 22, 2019 2:30 PM ETHalliburton Company (HAL) StockHAL11 Comments
DM Martins Research
20.91K Followers

Summary

  • Halliburton's earnings day was anything but "tense", as a challenged North America region topped expectations on the results and outlook.
  • Management now expects pricing deterioration to subside and service demand to pick up the pace modestly.
  • Following Halliburton's better-than-anticipated earnings report, I have become just a bit less cautious about the stock.

What I had called a potentially "tense earnings day" for Houston-based Halliburton (NYSE:HAL) ended up being much more uneventful than I originally expected.

On Monday, the leading oilfield services company reported a modest revenue beat, accompanied by consensus-meeting adjusted EPS of $0.23 that helped to ease concerns over a deteriorating North America market. Probably most reassuring was the management team's vision for the rest of the year, which included the following remark:

We believe the worst in the pricing deterioration is now behind us. For the next couple of quarters, I see demand for our services progressing modestly.

Credit: Houston Chronicle

In my view, the more upbeat narrative is a departure from what peer Schlumberger (SLB) discussed a mere few days ago. On Thursday, the main competitor spoke of "lower investments with a likely downward adjustment to the current production growth outlook" in North America, as well as of "lower investments, increasing technical challenges from well interference, step out from core acreage and limited further growth in lateral length and proppant per stage."

On the Halliburton side, it was no surprise that international operations (43% of total company sales this quarter) picked up the home continent's slack, producing a solid 11% YOY increase in revenues. I calculate that Latin America alone, the smallest geographic segment, accounted for more than half of the company's top-line growth ex-North America, propelled mainly by strength across the board in Mexico and Argentina.

Source: DM Martins Research, using data from press release

But this is not to say that North America severely underperformed. Despite the noticeable 7% segment revenue dip YOY, the top-line results in the region came in roughly $150 million above consensus expectation, which is an impressive feat. Pricing seems to have been a drag still, particularly in onshore stimulation services. However, activity appeared to be relatively

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This article was written by

20.91K Followers
Daniel Martins is the founder of independent research firm DM Martins Research. The firm's work is centered around building more efficient, easily replicable portfolios that are properly risk-balanced for growth with less downside risk. His work has been featured on Seeking Alpha and other platforms through 2,000+ articles, and it has been cited by the New York Times, CNN, Reuters, USA Today, and others.- - -Daniel is the founder and portfolio manager at DM Martins Capital Management LLC, a macro strategy hedge fund (leveraged risk-parity approach that uses return stacking to achieve aggressive long-term capital appreciation). He is a former equity research professional at FBR Capital Markets and Telsey Advisory in New York City and finance analyst at macro hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, where he developed most of his investment management skills earlier in his career. Daniel is also an equity research and global equities market instructor for Wall Street Prep, where he has developed content and trained hundreds of senior and junior analysts at some of the largest bulge bracket investment banks and sovereign investment funds in the world.He holds an MBA in Financial Instruments and Markets from New York University's Stern School of Business.- - -On Seeking Alpha, DM Martins Research has partnered with EPB Macro Research and collaborated with Risk Research, Inc.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long SLB. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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