If You Ever Wanted To Own Gold Miners: Here's Your Chance Now

May 05, 2019 4:23 PM ETGDXJ, NEM, NGT:CA30 Comments

Summary

  • Gold miners have become incredibly oversold.
  • One example is GDXJ, down by exactly 20% from its top, and trading at an RSI of 22.64.
  • Other high quality gold mining names have become abnormally cheap.
  • Newmont Mining is down by 17% in the last month alone, and is now trading at just 20 time forward earnings estimates.
  • Fundamentals surrounding the gold sector remain sound, and the recent selloff should be treated as a substantial buying opportunity.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Albright Investment Group . Start your free trial today »

gold miningImage Source

If You Wanted To Own Gold Miners: Here’s Your Chance

The gold mining sector has been battered in recent weeks. VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) is down by exactly 20% from its top, a textbook correction following stellar short-term gains earlier in the year.

Source: StockCharts

To put things into context, GDXJ surged by 35% from its December lows and began its correction in late February.

GDXJ Technicals Tell a Profound Story

GDXJ is trading towards the bottom-end of a multiyear trading range now. Crucial support now is the $28 level, and if the stock falls through we have another area of major support at $26.

However, I don’t expect GDXJ to fail technically here. The fundamentals surrounding gold and gold mining are simply too compelling to ignore at these oversold and discounted levels.

GDXJ appears to have bottomed last September, and that bottom was confirmed by a retest in December. The mid to long-term future image is extremely bright for gold, gold miners and GDXJ. Yet, this ETF is just 7% above its bottom in 2018, clearly something is not right here.

In comparison, tech stocks, discretionary names, communication, materials, industrials, etc. are up by approximately 25-35% off their respective bottoms in December.

Gold miners, especially smaller companies are very volatile. We can see that GDXJ was up by 35% off its bottom far before any other sector. Yet, it was not able to keep those gains, which produced a remarkably convenient 20% correction.

I believe now is a great time to step in to GDXJ, and other names in this sector with high upside potential.

GDXJ Covered Call Dividend Strategy

Right now, you can sell GDXJ’s June 7th $28.5 call options for $1. GDXJ’s current price is $28.18, so the covered call dividend payment you’ll receive

Want to know more? If you would like full articles that include technical analysis, trade triggers, portfolio insight, option strategies, and much more, consider joining Albright Investment Group!

  • Subscribe now and obtain the best of both worlds, deep value insight, coupled with top-performing growth strategies.
  • Receive access to our top-performing portfolio that outpaced the S&P 500 by 19% in 2018.
  • Take advantage of this limited time 2-week free trial offer now and receive 20% off your introductory subscription pricing. Click here to find out more!

This article was written by

51.91K Followers

Hi, I’m Victor Dergunov, MBA, and I’ve been an active investor for over 20 years. My passion for investing started early, and I’ve spent two decades honing strategies that consistently deliver results. Whether it's tech giants like Apple and Tesla or opportunities in commodities and crypto, I provide diversified insights to help you succeed. Join me, and let’s take your investing to the next level.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long NEM, GDXJ. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

This article expresses solely my opinions, is produced for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Investing comes with risk to loss of principal. Please consider consulting a professional before putting any capital at risk.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
GDXJ--
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
NEM--
Newmont Corporation
NGT:CA--
Newmont Corporation

Related Analysis