AbbVie And Allergan - Take Advantage Of AbbVie's Share Price Drop

Jun. 28, 2019 11:35 AM ETAbbVie Inc. (ABBV) Stock, AGN StockPFE, ABBV, AGN40 Comments

Summary

  • AbbVie has announced a plan to acquire Allergan for more than $60 billion. This transaction has been fully financed and is expected to close in early-2020.
  • The combined company's growth platform will be enough to cover the dividends of AbbVie for the long-term, removing Humira dividend risks.
  • The company anticipates paying off $15-18 billion in debt by 2021, while fully covering its dividend.
  • The combined company's exciting pipeline, plus AbbVie's stock price drop makes this an exciting long-term investment.
  • I recommend investing in AbbVie for the long-term.
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AbbVie (NYSE: NYSE:ABBV) recently announced a plan to acquire Allergan (NYSE: AGN) for more than $60 billion. That's a sharp drawdown from Pfizer's (NYSE: PFE) offer to buy the company for $160 billion in 2015, a deal that ultimately didn't work out after tax law changes ended one of the major benefits of the deal, which was to allow Pfizer to lower its taxes by $1 billion annually.

Still, AbbVie's acquisition offer was 45% above Allergan's closing stock price before the deal, although that's more like 35% after AbbVie's stock price drop. That stock price drop has also pushed up AbbVie's dividend yield to more than 6%, making it one of the highest yielding dividend aristocrats. I see this as short-term pain that'll soon be reserved.

As we'll see throughout this article, the combined company's R&D business, along with its cash flow abilities make it a top-tier investment opportunity.

Acquisition - Fox Business

Transaction Overview

The basis of any transaction is the price that's paid, and more importantly, how that price is paid. An all cash deal has significantly different implications from an all stock deal. I will come out into the open here by stating that I am rarely a fan of heavily stock based transactions. I believe if a transaction is accretive, with long-term benefits, then it should be paid for in cash.

Deal Terms - Merger Investor Presentation

The deal terms involve each Allergan share being exchanged for $120.30 in cash + 0.8660 shares of the combined company. Based on current share prices, which makes the share component of the deal equivalent to $58.89 / share. This makes the total share price equivalent to $179.19 / share for Allergan. For reference that is more than 9% above the company's current share price.

That means that there is

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This article was written by

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The Value Portfolio specializes in building retirement portfolios and utilizes a fact-based research strategy to identify investments. This includes extensive readings of 10Ks, analyst commentary, market reports, and investor presentations. He invests real money in the stocks he recommends.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long ABBV, AGN. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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