The Customer Is Always Right: Consumer Sentiment As A Predictor Of Alpha

Lets Talk ETFs
7.07K Followers

Summary

  • ExponentialETFs CEO Phil Bak rejoins the podcast to discuss his flagship fund, the American Customer Satisfaction Core Alpha ETF.
  • At the core of his investment thesis is the idea that companies whose customers are satisfied will outperform their peers over the long term.
  • We explore some of ACSI's specific holdings like Keurig Dr Pepper and T-Mobile to better understand what makes this fund tick.

By Jonathan Liss

Before founding ExponentialETFs, Phil Bak spent the better part of a decade with the NYSE's ETF division, helping other firms get their own funds listed smoothly. And while he enjoyed what he was doing, he had always really envisioned himself managing his own ETFs. For some time, Bak had theorized that consumer sentiment could be used as a lead indicator to generate outperformance.

Enter Dr. Claes Fornell, the world's foremost expert on measuring customer satisfaction. Since founding the American Customer Satisfaction Index in 1994, Fornell had collected reams of data on thousands of American brands from hundreds of thousands of consumers. A fellow Michigander, Bak arranged a sit-down with the University of Michigan-based Fornell to pitch his idea for an investable index based on Fornell's data, and as they say, the rest if history. In 2016, Bak finally took the leap and left his job at the NYSE to launch ExponentialETFs and the American Customer Satisfaction Core Alpha ETF (BATS:ACSI) - with Fornell's data underlying the fund's index.

Click play above to listen to the full conversation.

Topics Covered

  • 2:45 - Why Phil decided to leave his job at the NYSE to launch his own ETF

  • 5:20 - Why start an ETF based on customer satisfaction ratings (ACSI)?

  • 10:15 - Quantifying, and then indexing, customer satisfaction

  • 15:15 - Consumer choices vary greatly by sector - how does the fund account for that?

  • 18:30 - Going under the hood of ACSI to look at the specific holdings:

    • 20:00 - Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP)

    • 24:45 - T-Mobile (TMUS) vs. the other big 3 Telecom players

  • 27:20 - Exponential’s other fund: Why reverse cap weight (RVRS)?

  • 29:50 - Exponential’s plans for the future

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This article was written by

7.07K Followers
Let’s Talk ETFs is Seeking Alpha's podcast dedicated to the exchange traded fund space. Hosted by Seeking Alpha’s ETF expert, Jonathan Liss, the podcast features long-form conversations with industry insiders, ETF issuers, asset managers and investment advisers to explore the ways in which ETFs continue to evolve, helping investors to reach their financial goals.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Neither Phil Bak nor Jonathan Liss have positions in any of the funds or stocks discussed in today's episode.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given that any particular security, portfolio, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The author is not advising you personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security or other matter. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy, or any product or service, is appropriate or suitable for you based on your investment objectives and personal and financial situation. The author is an employee of Seeking Alpha. Any views or opinions expressed herein may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank.

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