Spirit Airlines: What Just Happened And Where We Go From Here

Pinxter Analytics
5.02K Followers

Summary

  • Spirit Airlines had a tough post-earnings reaction as industry-wide experts weighed in on their warnings on higher costs.
  • But as the company works to improve its overall standing and drive higher income and sales, I believe it was an overreaction.
  • Given a basic peer comparison in a fragmented industry, the airline seems to be undervalued by around 10%, and its strong stance could offer a solid investment opportunity.

Spirit Airlines (SAVE) just reported a great quarter and H1 results, but given alerts on higher costs which brought up a downgrade from Deutsche Bank (DB), it took down the entire airline sector cratering almost 25%.

Arguably, Spirit Airlines was indeed flying a little high at $55.00 per share, but the massive drop after reporting solid earnings, where it actually managed to control costs even as fuel expenses jumped, is very encouraging.

At its current price of around $42.00 per share and given where the company is at from a financial standpoint alongside its peer comparisons, SAVE appears to be undervalued and can provide a nice bounce in the next 6 to 12 months. Looking at other companies like Southwest Airlines (LUV), Alaska Air (ALK) and JetBlue (JBLU) puts SAVE's fair value at around $50.00 per share if you treat them all as equals.

Business Model Remains Strong

Spirit Airlines operates flights to over 60 destinations, primarily in North America, but also in Latin America where it rakes in 12% of its revenues.

In the most recent quarter, the company saw an improvement across the board compared to a year ago. Revenue passenger miles increased 15%, revenue per passenger increased 0.3% (due to softness in flight revenues from lower prices but stronger amenities spending), and the company increased its load factor by 1.3 points from 83.7% to 85%.

Even though the airline hired more personnel and saw an uptick in various fees related to its operating environment like leases and airport services, it only increased its H1 operating costs by 8.8% when compared to last year whilst revenues increased just over 20%, a positive sign for further profitability increases in the future.

Balance Sheet Translations

The company's strong performance resulted in free cash flow of $106 million for the first half

This article was written by

5.02K Followers
As part of my earnings growth strategy, I invest, trade and write about small under-covered growth companies which don't get much attention from establishment analysts as well as use the strategy to interpret short and long term moves in bigger, well established companies in the United States, Europe and the Asia-Pacific region.-All articles and the information in them are my opinion based on my own research and analysis and should not be taken as investment advice without proper due diligence and advice from a professional financial adviser.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in SAVE over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Opinion, not investment advice.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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