Crown Crafts: An Undervalued Cash Generator With At Least 50% Upside

Aug. 05, 2019 11:41 PM ETCrown Crafts, Inc. (CRWS) StockCRWS4 Comments
Daniël Tacken
391 Followers

Summary

  • Crown Crafts has had three rough years with a lot of headwinds.
  • The company withstood these problems well.
  • The company's financial performance has remained good.
  • I believe the stock should trade at least 50% higher than the current share price.
  • You get paid a sustainable 7% dividend while you wait.

Introduction

Crown Crafts (NASDAQ:CRWS) is a producer of infant and toddler products. Adverse business conditions and the trade war between the US and China have caused the stock price of CRWS to decline to a 7-year low. I believe the company has been punished too hard and is an attractive investment at current levels. CRWS has a sustainable dividend yield of 7%, its balance sheet is in a good condition and its operating performance has stabilized after a tough fiscal 2017 and 2018.

In this article, I will first discuss the issues the company has faced since 2017. Secondly, I will discuss Crown Crafts' financials over the last few years. Thirdly, I will argue that the company's valuation prices in all negativity and none of the potential upside.

Crown Crafts Infant products. Source: Instagram

Bad news has dominated the headlines for the company since 2017

Since 2017 the company has faced a lot of headwinds. First of all, one of its main categories came under severe pressure due to a new consumer trend. Historically, the company has been able to sell a lot of accessories and side products when parents bought a crib for their baby. However, the last few years, experts have warned that it is best to let babies sleep in a ‘naked crib.’ This means that no blankets, toys or pillows are to be put inside the crib.

Secondly, Crown Crafts has been deeply affected by the bankruptcy of Toys"R"Us and Babies "R" Us. In 2017, 19% of its revenue was derived from Toys"R"Us. For fiscal 2018, this figure has dropped to 15% (Source: April 26, 2019, presentation). Some of these lost sales have been offset by increased orders from Toys"R"Us’ competitors. On the whole, the company struggled in fiscal 2019 to recover those sales from Toys"R"Us.

This article was written by

391 Followers
Hello everyone! I am Daniël, a 25 year old Dutch graduate in Political Economy. In 2021 I immigrated to the United States. I have always been fascinated by investing and the stock market. In the summer of 2017 I stumbled upon Ben Grahams "The Intelligent Investor" and since then I have really started my journey of becoming a proper value investor. I hope you will enjoy my articles and that I can contribute a little to this great investors platform.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long CRWS. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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