comScore Is A Deeply Misunderstood Special Situation With A Sizeable Margin Of Safety

Aug. 20, 2019 8:00 AM ETcomScore, Inc. (SCOR) StockSCOR, NLSN15 Comments
Jim Roumell
1.75K Followers

Summary

  • SCOR trades at a depressed valuation due to liquidity concerns and constant senior leadership disruption.
  • However, the liquidity challenges are not nearly as draconian as investors seem to believe, and SCOR can raise up to $50M in first lien debt pari pasu with Starboard.
  • SCOR possesses a portfolio of unique media measurement analytic tools that are not easily duplicable.
  • There is significant PE interest in consolidating and building out cross-platform measurement capabilities, and we cannot see a scenario in which SCOR's assets are not highly coveted.
  • Significant upside potential even under most conservative assumptions on a SOTP basis.

comScore (NASDAQ:SCOR) is a deeply misunderstood investment situation offering an exceptional risk/reward opportunity for risk-tolerant investors, in our opinion. We believe the company possesses a portfolio of unique media measurement analytic tools that are not easily duplicable. We believe the liquidity challenges the company is experiencing are not nearly as draconian as investors seem to believe and that significant upside potential exists from the current $1.65/share price level. To be clear, there are liquidity challenges, we just believe the company has options to mitigate those concerns.

SCOR's investment thesis lies in an understanding of 1) its unique assets and capabilities within the ad-tech ecosystem and 2) the simple recognition that Starboard likely wants the business sold (it would be paid 110% of par value for its convertible bond, or roughly $224 million). The Board, after several false-starts in creating a credible senior leadership structure, likely wants the same outcome. Finally, current CEO Dale Fuller, placed on the board by Starboard in 2018, is not an industry expert, and also likely sees himself as overseeing the sale of the company.

In its August 6th earnings announcement, the company stated, " The management team is exploring all aspects of the business and is conducting a comprehensive strategic review of all our options…" Recently, Paul Reilly, a Starboard board nominee, left SCOR's board, leaving Starboard with one board member in Mr. Fuller. Thus, while Starboard's convertible bond makes them an important, and outsized stakeholder, they do not control SCOR. Thus, if all stakeholders point to selling the company, then the private market will price this business. Our belief is that it will price it much higher than the pubic stock market is doing today.

There is little question that advertising measurement technology is changing fast and that venture capital has financed many start-ups

This article was written by

1.75K Followers
Jim Roumell is Founder and President of Roumell Asset Management, LLC. Mr. Roumell founded the firm in 1998 after more than a decade as a financial advisor.  Mr. Roumell is highlighted in, “The Art of Value Investing: How the World’s Best Investors Beat the Market” by John Heins and Whitney Tilson. Martin J. Whitman, Founder of Third Avenue Value Funds, says, "Jim's investment philosophies and his actual investments snugly fit into my criteria for securities investment." Mr. Roumell was selected to participate in, and won, two consecutive Wall Street Journal stock picking contests (in 2001 and 2002) before the contest was discontinued. He is a graduate of Wayne State University, Detroit, Michigan.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long SCOR. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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