Gilead Sciences Deal With Galapagos NV Should Be A Winner

William Meyers
7.5K Followers

Summary

  • Gilead has already partnered with Galapagos for filgotinib.
  • Gilead is using a lot of cash for the deal, but it is a cash generator.
  • The potential value of therapy rights acquired is great, but there are risks.

Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD) has had a rough past five years, judging by its stock price, which peaked back in 2015. However, throughout this period, cash generation has been strong and was used to make a major acquisition, Kite in 2017 and, recently, to make an investment and licensing deal with Galapagos NV (GLPG). This article will focus on the Galapagos investment and how it could affect Gilead's future trajectory.

This article presumes the reader is familiar with Gilead basics. But, by way of reminders, in Q2, Gilead had revenue of $5.69 billion, up 1% y/y. GAAP EPS was $1.47 and non-GAAP EPS was $1.82. Cash flow from operations was $2.2 billion.

Background: Two Prior Deals

In addition to a number of smaller licensing or tuck-in deals, Gilead made two past acquisitions worth examining: Pharmasset in 2011 for $11.2 billion and Kite Pharma in 2017 for $11.9 billion. The Pharmasset deal led to Gilead having the first truly effective hepatitis C therapy on the market, resulting in a revenue and profit bump that drove Gilead stock to its all-time highs in 2015. The Kite deal gave Gilead a quick start in CAR-T cancer therapies, but the revenue ramp has been slow so far. In Q2 2019, the approved CAR-T cancer therapy Yescarta generated $120 million in revenue. To date, there has not been an obvious increase in Gilead's stock price due to Yescarta sales.

Galapagos Deal Details

The Gilead deal with Galapagos closed on August 23, 2019. It is mainly for collaboration in research and development but included an equity investment of $1.1 billion. Combined with prior ownership, Gilead now owns about 22% of Galapagos stock.

Gilead paid a $3.95 billion upfront fee, and it also is paying milestones and royalties for each potential therapy it chooses to option. Gilead will acquire rights to

This article was written by

7.5K Followers
I provided stock and bond research and analysis to a small cap specialist investor, Lloyd Miller, from 2002 until his death in January 2018. For my own account I invest mainly in technology and biotechnology stocks. My technology and investment web site is openicon.com, where readers can view the notes I take to make decisions and to write articles for Seeking Alpha.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long GILD. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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