Cleveland-Cliffs Declares Special Dividend, Market Overreacts To Recession Fears

Sep. 03, 2019 7:48 PM ETCleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) StockCLF86 Comments
Vladimir Zernov
16.02K Followers

Summary

  • Cleveland-Cliffs announces regular dividend of $0.06 and special dividend of $0.04.
  • The company can afford a one-time payment of additional dividend, but the market panics and pushes shares down at the opening of the trading day.
  • I disagree with the market and believe that the special dividend is a sign of strength rather than weakness.

Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE:CLF) has just announced a quarterly dividend of $0.06 per share (in line with the previous dividend which was raised from $0.05 per share to $0.06 per share) and a special cash dividend of $0.04 per share. The regular and special dividends will be payable on October 15, 2019, for shareholders of record as of the close of business on October 4, 2019.

This move comes after the stock lost much ground in August (I discussed the situation in this article) and, in my view, signals the management’s confidence in the company’s financials as well as its dissatisfaction with the current share price. Critics will argue that spending cash amidst ongoing investment in the hot-briquetted iron plant and U.S. - China trade war is reckless, but I don’t think that Cliffs has breached the red line with this special dividend.

As of the latest quarterly report, Cliffs had roughly 276 million shares outstanding (285 million on a diluted basis). An additional cash dividend of $0.04 represents an expense of roughly $11 million. In the first six months of 2019 (keep in mind that the first quarter is always the weakest one), Cliffs generated $151.1 million of operating cash flow. In the first half of the year, Cliffs sold 7.8 million tons of pellets while its full-year sales guidance is 20 million tons. Due to this sales seasonality, cash flow is set to increase in second half of the year, and Cliffs, which had $377.2 million of cash on the balance sheet at the end of the second quarter, can afford the additional $11 million expense.

At the same time, the resulting $0.10 dividend is not a long-term obligation, so Cliffs can quickly revert to the previous $0.06 dividend if the company feels that current iron ore and steel prices do not lead to

This article was written by

16.02K Followers
I'm a trader who trades both short-term and long-term. I started my career as a day-trader for a trading firm, but then turned to longer time frames and went on my own to manage my portfolio. I use technical analysis as well as fundamental analysis in my research.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long CLF. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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