Ulta Beauty And Its Real Value

Sep. 16, 2019 1:15 PM ETUlta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) StockSBUX, ULTA14 Comments

Summary

  • Exaggerated pessimism over Ulta’s recent report miss and guidance has investors selling.
  • Critics of Ulta say growth is slowing and physical retail is dying.
  • Unlike other retailers, Ulta is doing all the right things to keep traffic coming to their physical stores.
  • Plans of global expansion could boost long-term future growth much higher.
  • If Ulta hasn’t been on your radar yet, this article might change your mind.
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Ulta Beauty, Inc. (NASDAQ:ULTA) has been taking a beating after its recent earnings report didn’t meet analysts’ expectations and since the company lowered forward guidance. Investors are selling and the stock is near its 52-week low.

Many investors might be scared away from Ulta because of the media’s negative news. But as a value investor I try to focus more on the facts of the company and the real value,

This article will show you that when you dig deeper into the fundamentals, you will see that Ulta has been near picture-perfect with consistent and increasing fundamentals. I see this recent share price drop more as an exaggerated market reaction since Ulta didn’t meet or exceed the analysts’ expected path of perfection. Because of Ulta’s pristine track record, analysts have probably priced in perfection and when the latest quarter of still positive growth fell short, the stock got punished big time.

Company Snapshot

Ulta is the country's largest beauty retailer. It sells over 20,000 products, 500+ brands, and has over 1,200 retail stores in the U.S.

They also offer hair and skin services in-store, which helps to distinguish them from other beauty retailers. The CEO, Mary Dillion is focused on Ulta Beauty being an all-in-one place to buy beauty products/services. This provides more convenience and choices for customers and could help to persuade shoppers to choose their store over the competition.

Some will say that brick-and-mortar retail is dying, but beauty stores could be an exception. Customers like to see, feel, smell, and sense the products. They also can sample cosmetics and are driven to the stores for the additional beauty services. So while Ulta does have a growing online presence, it shouldn't have to worry as much as some other retailers about physical store sale declines.

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This article was written by

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Grant Gigliotti is the founder of Beat The Market Analyzer, a leading value investing stock software and has been an active investor for 20+ years. He focuses on the value investing strategies of Warren Buffett to find good companies at bargain prices. He aims to show you how he buys good companies with strong fundamentals at large discounts from their intrinsic value.

Grant is the leader of the investing group Good Stocks@Bargain Prices where he offers subscribers: daily stock analysis, alerts for what he’s buying/selling, a regular newsletter, weekly summaries, a watch list, and chat to answer questions. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in ULTA over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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