FactSet: Attractive Business Model But Unattractive Price

Urbem Capital
3.73K Followers

Summary

  • FactSet's subscription model generates recurring free cash flow, fends off competition and offers long-term visibility for investors.
  • The installed base and barrier of entry provide the company with an economic moat.
  • Given our assumed long-term growth prospect, we do not see the attractiveness in the stock's valuation at the moment.

By Steven Chen, MBA

Source: glassdoor.com.

Overview

Connecticut-based FactSet (NYSE:FDS) is a global provider of financial data and analytic applications for investment management and banking professionals. As of the latest quarter, the company served, in total, 122k+ users (i.e., individuals accessing FactSet services across all client sites) and 5.4k+ clients (i.e., companies subscribing to FactSet services with an Annual Subscription Value, or ASV, greater than $10,000).

FactSet primarily derives its revenue from subscriptions to products and professional services such as workstations, analytics, enterprise data, research management, and trade execution. This business model is attractive from multiple perspectives - it provides highly predictable sales streams, strong cash generation, economic moat, and high scalability. The management appears to focus a lot on the ASV number, which represents the forward-looking revenues for the next twelve months from all subscription services currently being supplied to clients, and hence, could be a good indicator of generated business value and near-term growth momentum. Thanks to the 95% client retention rate, ASV also sheds the light on long-term visibility for investors. As you can see below, the total ASV climbed steadily YoY for the past few years.

Source: 2018 Annual Report

The recurring revenue model at FactSet enables the company to grow its revenue and cash flow smoothly even during the Financial Crisis (see below).

Source: GuruFocus; data as of 9/26/2019.

Source: GuruFocus; data as of 9/26/2019.

At the same time, the solid business model also supported the dividend growth at a consistent pace since the payout started (see below).

Source: YCharts; data as of 9/26/2019.

It is worth noting that, per the chart below, FactSet generated more FCF than net profits in most of the years for the past decade, thanks to, again, the subscription business model that requires prepayment. Such strong cash generation has earned the company additional capability and flexibility

This article was written by

3.73K Followers
Urbem Capital is the research arm of Urbem Partnership. Unlike most other equity research institutes, we purely focus on the rare species of wonderful businesses for the long run - that is less than 0.1% of all public companies worldwide.For more, check out founder Steven Chen's GuruFocus publications - https://www.gurufocus.com/ic/space.php?uid=451967&do=article

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long FDS. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Mentioning of any stock in the article does not constitute investment recommendations. Investors should always conduct careful analysis themselves and/or consult with their investment advisors before acting in the stock market.

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