Soda Ash Profits At Ciner Resources LP

Oct. 18, 2019 11:51 AM ETSisecam Resources LP (SIRE) StockSIRE15 Comments

Summary

  • The President resigned.
  • The distribution was cut.
  • A recovery from the above two events provides an investment opportunity.
  • The money gained from the distribution cut will be used to expand the business.
  • Financial leverage is very low and the distribution is extremely well covered.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, Oil & Gas Value Research. Get started today »

Ciner Resources (CINR) is one of those partnerships with a small exposure to the public that generally does not make waves. Sometimes unpleasant waves rule the day. This year, the President resigned after a distribution cut and the partnership has shown some negative earnings comparisons. This market does not tolerate those results regardless of the reasons because the current market is used to unrealistic gains from growth stocks and story stocks. The income crowd abandoned this partnership in droves after the dividend cut which provides an opportunity for investors who realize the current situation will pass.

Partnership Stock Price

This partnership issues K-1s. That appeals to some investors. However, the overall news the last few months has decimated the price of the partnership units. Now, though the price is low enough that should the partnership go private because of the low price, investors would benefit from both the distribution and the offer (likely at a premium) to go private.

Source: Seeking Alpha Website October 17, 2019

These units had been in a slow recovery to the initial announcement of a distribution decrease when the President resigned. That President had been at the helm since this partnership went public. Clearly the market did not accept the leadership change very well. However, change is inevitable.

In the meantime, management estimated about 9 quarters of a distribution decrease was needed to complete a capital expansion program. This partnership is conservatively managed with debt levels around one times EBITDA. Management chose to reduce the distribution rather than leverage the partnership more.

That choice usually guarantees that debt markets will be available to the partnership at very reasonable terms in even the worst economic downturns.

Partnership Structure

The worries about the resignation of the President on the effect of the partnership appear to be overblown.

I analyze oil and gas companies and related companies like Ciner Resources LP in my service, Oil & Gas Value Research, where I look for undervalued names in the oil and gas space. I break down everything you need to know about these companies -- the balance sheet, competitive position and development prospects. This article is an example of what I do. But for Oil & Gas Value Research members, they get it first and they get analysis on some companies that is not published on the free site. Interested? Sign up here for a free two-week trial.

This article was written by

23.83K Followers

Long Player believes oil and gas is a boom-bust, cyclical industry. It takes patience, and it certainly helps to have experience. He has been focusing on this industry for years. He is a retired CPA, and holds an MBA and MA.

He leads the investing group Oil & Gas Value Research. He looks for under-followed oil companies and out-of-favor midstream companies that offer compelling opportunities. The group includes an active chat room in which Oil & Gas investors discuss recent information and share ideas. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in CINR over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor, and this article is not meant to be a recommendation of the purchase or sale of stock. Investors are advised to review all company documents and press releases to see if the company fits their own investment qualifications.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

More on SIRE