Annaly Capital Is Looking Too Good To Be True

Scott Wilkie
2.08K Followers

Summary

  • Mortgage backed securities have a long history of creating challenges for investors.
  • 2019 is turning out to be another tough year for Annaly.
  • Will the company cut the dividend again in an effort to stop the bleeding.
  • Is the company well positioned to handle a downturn in the economy.

As someone who depends on dividends to pay my bills and fund my lifestyle I am always looking for ways to boost my income. Recognizing that I started following Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY) a few months back when their 12% dividend attracted my interest. At the time I thought it might be too good to be true and wrote about how the dividend might not be sustainable, much to the chagrin of some readers, but shortly after that they cut the dividend. Now sitting at an 11.5% yield it is still quite generous, but I am still asking the same question: Is it sustainable and should the conservative dividend investor be avoiding this opportunity?

Mortgage backed securities have a rather checkered past

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. is a diversified capital manager that invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company invests in various types of agency mortgage-backed securities, non-agency residential mortgage assets, and residential mortgage loans; and originates and invests in commercial mortgage loans, securities, and other commercial real estate investments. It also provides financing to private equity-backed middle market businesses; and operates as a broker-dealer.

Investor Presentation

Mortgage backed securities have a rather checkered past considering they were the instrument that triggered the Great Recession from 2007-09. During the financial crisis investment banks were bundling individual mortgages, then offering investors the opportunity to trade them as securities with the mortgages forming the underlying asset base. Unfortunately the securities were being traded at significantly higher valuations than the underlying assets, which eventually caused a meltdown in the market. Regulations have tightened up many of these issues, but I still believe they present a risk component you don’t see in traditional banking and may be difficult for many investors to understand.

The challenge that I have with this market is

This article was written by

2.08K Followers
Having achieved the dream of retiring early as a high net worth investor my job is managing my portfolio of high quality dividend paying stocks and supporting readers of Seeking Alpha. I have a special focus on Canadian large caps including: banks, insurance companies, pipelines, renewable energy, real estate, railways and the energy sector. A buy and hold investor I manage a focused portfolio of Canadian companies with an internationally diversified business model. Feel free to follow me as I pass along the knowledge I have earned and try to navigate my early retirement lifestyle..

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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