Yandex: The Roller-Coaster Ride Continues

Oct. 23, 2019 12:26 AM ETNebius Group N.V. (NBIS) StockNBIS10 Comments
Danil Kolyako
1.94K Followers

Summary

  • On October 11, the stock crashed after the committee meeting in State Duma devoted to the draft law restricted foreign ownership of the company.
  • However, last Friday the Russian government proposed to ease the onwership requirements for Russian tech companies.
  • For steadfast Yandex bulls, this is still one of the best moments to buy the stock. For others, the situation is just an another short-term speculative opportunity.

Yandex's (NASDAQ:YNDX) shares are volatile amid the discussion of the notorious ownership law, though a glimmer of hope has finally appeared in this story. I still expect that relations between the Russian government and Yandex will continue to be strained and this will be one of the key factors limiting the stock's upside in the long term. However, in the short term, there's an almost no-brainer trade - just buy Yandex shares before the coming Q3 financial results and sell shortly after their announcement.

What Happened?

On October 11, Yandex's shares went down by almost 20% during the day. The stock collapsed after the meeting of the State Duma Committee on Information Policy, where lawmakers discussed draft legislation that would limit foreign ownership in "significant information resources" (including Yandex) to 20 percent.

At the State Duma committee meeting, lawmakers couldn’t come to a unanimous decision about the bill. Committee chairman Leonid Levin said that a final decision on the legislation won’t be made until November. Spokesmen of Megafon, Rosneft (OCRNL) and industrial associations who were present at the meeting criticized the project.

In turn, representatives of the Federal Antimonopoly Service and Roskomnadzor told that they conceptually support the legislation, but some parts of it require clarification. An employee of the Ministry of Communications said that the ministry sent a negative review to the Gorelkin bill.

Later, the government prepared feedback on the bill. It is ready to support the document with some important adjustments - foreign participation in significant information resources regarding voting shares should be acceptable at the level of 50% minus one share. In addition, the bill should include clear criteria for classifying an information resource as significant in order to avoid "subjective assessments."

Source: the State Duma website

And now just look how quickly Russian officials can

This article was written by

1.94K Followers
In the investment world, there's no lack of analysis. However, there's a catastrophic lack of sensible, unbiased, actionable analysis. I want to be one of those who change that for the better.My email: danil (dot) kolyako (at) gmail.com.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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