Eldorado Gold: A Dig Into The Q3 Results

Summary

  • Eldorado Gold reported its Q3 results this week, and continues to track near its 2019 guidance provided in February.
  • The Lamaque Mine PEA is due later this year, with the potential for a slight expansion in annual production.
  • The company is on track to deliver on guidance, but it remains inferior to its peers fundamentally given its operations in mostly tier-3 jurisdictions, and high costs.

It's been a busy week for investors in the metals complex, with earnings season have finally kicked off in full swing. Eldorado Gold (NYSE:EGO) was the most recent company to release its Q3 earnings report, and results were mostly in line with what analysts were expecting. The company produced 101,596 ounces in the quarter and is on track to meet annual production guidance of 390,000 to 420,000 ounces. All-in sustaining cost guidance is tracking a little higher than expected but could reach the range provided with a strong Q4. While Eldorado Gold managed to put up a decent quarter, despite slight misses on the top and bottom line, I continue to see the stock as inferior to its peers based on its three-year guidance, and higher cost profile vs. other intermediate producers. The stock should do fine in a rising gold (GLD) price environment, but I would rank the stock as a Sector Perform. This means that it should perform in line with the Gold Miners Index (GDX), but the Gold Miners Index provides lower risk due to its diversification.

eldorado gold production(Source: Company Website)

Eldorado Gold has come a long way from the depths of its bear market in 2018 and has managed to pull costs down from two horrendous quarters in Q3 2018 and Q1 2019, of $1,112/oz and $1,132/oz, respectively. All-in sustaining costs for Q3 2019 came in at $1,031/oz, and all-in sustaining costs for the first nine months of 2019 are sitting at $998/oz. These figures are roughly 5% above guidance provided in February of $950/oz for the year, and it's certainly possible the company could meet this guidance. Annual production guidance is sitting at 276,376 ounces to finish Q3, and the company will need 113,000 ounces of production to meet the low end of its guidance. The company reiterated its guidance in the release and plans on meeting this guidance.

This article was written by

30.02K Followers

Taylor Dart is an individual investor with over 16 years of trading experience, with his primary focus being precious metals developers, producers and royalty/streaming companies.

Taylor leads the investing group Alluvial Gold Research, where he offers portfolios with entry/exit points, Buy/Sell alerts, and proprietary sentiment indicators for gold and silver miners. Learn more.

- Disclosure: I am not a financial advisor. All articles are my opinion - they are not suggestions to buy or sell any securities. Perform your own due diligence and consult a financial professional before trading or investing.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long GDX. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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