This Might Be As Good As It Gets For Orion Energy Systems

Summary

  • Revenue in the second quarter was up by 266%, and the company shot to profit and cash generation in the first half of its fiscal year.
  • The company also showed a surprising amount of operational leverage, with operating margin shooting up in the last two quarters.
  • The overriding question on investors' minds will no doubt be whether this can be sustained.
  • We think perhaps not to the same extent, but given the company's turn-key capabilities and increased visibility, other projects will likely emerge.

Orion Energy Systems (NASDAQ:OESX) is booming on the basis of a huge ($100M+) contract, but the one thing on investors' minds will be to what extent the company can replace that when that starts to wind down.

We took a position in Orion Energy Systems for the SHU portfolio some time ago at $2.70, but the shares have not really prospered all that much since, basically being range-bound.

At first sight, this is somewhat odd as the company has produced an impressive improvement in its business:

And the first half of its fiscal 2020 was no different, with revenues up 266%!

Big Projects

Most of the boom in the company's fortunes is due to a big ($100M+) national account (believed to be Home Depot (HD) on the Q2CC by an analyst) and this also explains immediately why the stock price hasn't risen more, despite a crescendo in the quarterly figures.

That big project will run its course at some time, and whether the company can get another big project like that to replace it remains to be seen. But having such a big successful project, delivering energy savings at certain locations is even better than expected and on schedule (Q2CC):

This contract is clearly notable for its size, but even more for the potential it creates for us to replicate our unique capability of design through manufacturing and on-site nationwide installation with other large national accounts... And in addition, we have more opportunities beyond what we did initially for that customer in other areas of their business where we are seeing some traction also.

Not only are repeat orders from the same customer more likely, it also has increased the company's visibility and credibility, and what's more (Q2CC):

I would just expand to say that, that solution we developed for them

This article was written by

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Shareholders Unite is a retired academic with 30+ years of experience in the financial markets. He looks to find small companies with multi-bagger potential while mitigating risks through a portfolio approach.

He runs SHU Growth Portfolio where he offers wide coverage of several small companies with high growth possibilities. He has a buy and hold approach with tranche purchases of stocks of interest. The service features an illustrative portfolio to incorporate into your portfolio, buy alerts, weekend stock and market updates, and a chat room. Learn more

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long OESX. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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