Foot Locker: Can't Get Much Better

Nov. 22, 2019 4:46 PM ETFoot Locker, Inc. (FL) StockFL15 Comments

Summary

  • Shares are falling on the back of the just reported earnings.
  • Less stores are open, comps improved, revenues are growing.
  • A slight narrowing of revenue outlook for the year sent share spiraling.
  • This is a great value name and one to trade higher, but this selloff could be a great gift for long-term investors.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, BAD BEAT Investing. Get started today »

We have been trading Foot Locker (NYSE:FL) for nearly two years, buying in the $40s and selling around $50s, and in the present column, we are revisiting the play as the stock is back teetering around and under the $40 level. The stock had begun to rally ahead of earnings but is now being hit hard by the most recent earnings report, which, from a standalone quarter perspective, you really couldn't ask for much better. Considering where retail has been, and where this company has been, we are a bit flabbergasted by the selloff. The company was effectively in line on the top line and surpassed bottom line estimates. There were some strong positives in the quarter that are being completely ignored by the Street, and we believe that the market will recognize these positives in the coming weeks and revalue the stock higher as we move into the holiday shopping season. It is our opinion shares are a buy again for another run higher, and we expect a dividend hike as well come April 2020.

The play

Before delving into the specifics, let us lead with our play. This clear directive below is how we share all of our trades at BAD BEAT Investing. The Street has punished the stock, and it seems like a classic setup that we look for. Here, we are at $37.85 at the time of this writing. We think, in this zone, shares are a buy. From a valuation perspective which is discussed later, at this level, the stock is compelling. This is likely a make or break holiday season for the company with the economy still strong. We like owning shares yielding nearly 4% as we enter this season. The company has worked to turn the ship around and adapt in an ever-changing retail landscape. Here is how we are currently playing the stock:

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This article was written by

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The Pioneer Of Seeking Alpha's BAD BEAT Investing, Quad 7 Capital is a team of 7 analysts with a wide range of experience sharing investment opportunities for nearly 12 years. They are best known for their February 2020 call to sell everything & go short, & have been on average 95% long 5% short since May 2020. The broader company has expertise in business, policy, economics, mathematics, game theory, & the sciences. They share both long & short trades & invest personally in equities they discuss within their investing group BAD BEAT Investing, focused on short- & medium-term investments, income generation, special-situations, & momentum trades. Rather than just give you trades, they focus on teaching investors to become proficient traders through their playbook. Their goal is to save you time by providing in depth, high-quality research, with crystal clear entry and exit targets. They have a proven track record of success.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long FL. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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