Foot Locker: Its Management Is Smarter Than Mr. Market

Nov. 27, 2019 12:23 PM ETFoot Locker, Inc. (FL) StockNKE, FL11 Comments
Daniël Tacken
391 Followers

Summary

  • Foot Locker is selling for only 6.3x Free Cash Flow.
  • Foot Locker is a solid company with a good management team.
  • The company's relationship with Nike is a strength instead of a liability.
  • Quitting quarterly guidance and repurchasing a lot of shares at low prices show management is focussed on the long-term succes of the company.
  • Foot Locker should conservatively sell for at least $70 a share.

I wasn’t expecting to write an article on Foot Locker (NYSE:FL) after the Q3 earnings results. I was already long Foot Locker and I view the company as a great long-term hold. Many other SeekingAlpha contributors seem to agree as almost all articles on FL have been bullish. Not that I necessarily want to follow the consensus view, but it seems that Mr. Market just does not want to turn positive on Foot Locker.

Most of the other articles about Foot Locker have focused on its excellent balance sheet and cash flow generation. I will discuss this briefly as well but not in great detail. These points have been convincingly hammered home by the other contributors. In this article I want to assess why Foot Locker is valued low by the market and why I belief it should be valued a lot higher.

However, first I will discuss FL’s financial position and Q3 results in short. Secondly, I will discuss a perceived risk for Foot Locker that I think is overstated and can actually help the company in the long-term. Thirdly, I will discuss Foot Locker’s management, who I regard as one of the big positives for the company. Lastly, I will provide a rough estimate of what I think the business is worth and why investors will likely fair well if they hold Foot Locker for years to come.

Q3 and Financial Position

Last Friday Foot Locker released its third quarter results. Margins were up, comparable sales rose 5.7% and the company had EPS of $1.13, adjusted for a 4 million gain on a lease. In today’s retail environment many brick and mortar retailers would cut of their hand for such results. To my surprise Foot Locker shares sold of more than 8% in the first hour of trading on a Friday. I doubled my position in the

This article was written by

391 Followers
Hello everyone! I am Daniël, a 25 year old Dutch graduate in Political Economy. In 2021 I immigrated to the United States. I have always been fascinated by investing and the stock market. In the summer of 2017 I stumbled upon Ben Grahams "The Intelligent Investor" and since then I have really started my journey of becoming a proper value investor. I hope you will enjoy my articles and that I can contribute a little to this great investors platform.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long FL. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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