eHealth Delivers Again: Increasing Our Estimates And Price Target For 2020

Dec. 11, 2019 12:41 PM ETeHealth, Inc. (EHTH) StockEHTH
Singular Research
2.9K Followers

Summary

  • EHTH beats the Street by 35% margin and guides higher.
  • Solid metrics in subscriber growth logged by Medicare and non-Medicare segments.
  • Price target increased from $103 to $116 implying strong upside potential.

Company Description:

eHealth Inc. (NASDAQ:EHTH) is a leading health insurance marketplace that offers consumers to research, compare and purchase Medicare insurance plans as well as individual & family insurance plans.

Price (as of close of Dec. 5, 2019) - $90.24

Rating - BUY

Price Target - $116.00

EHTH delivers another strong quarter exceeding our estimates. We expect robust growth to continue in Q4. Management is guiding for 2019 results at the high end of the guidance range. We maintain our BUY rating while increasing our target price to $116 from $103.

52-Week Range Shares Outstanding

$33.66-$112.22

23.1 million

Total Debt Debt/Equity

$0.0 mil

0%

Insider/Institutional

5.1%/85.7%

ROE (LTM)

8.6%

Public Float

22.1 million

Book Value/Share

$18.3

Market Capitalization

$2,131 million

Daily Volume (3 mo. Avg.)

853,866

FYE DEC

FY 2018A

FY 2019E

FY 2020E

EPS ($)

ACTUAL

CURRENT

PREVIOUS

CURRENT

PREVIOUS

Q1 Mar

$(0.07)A

$0.33A

$0.33A

$0.37E

$0.38E

Q2 Jun

$(0.40)A

$0.10A

$0.10A

$0.04E

$0.04E

Q3 Sep

$(0.22)A

$(0.43)A

$(0.58)E

$(0.64)E

$(0.69)E

Q4 Dec

$1.71A

$2.23E

$2.09E

$2.77E

$2.60E

Year*

$1.10A

$2.23E

$1.94E

$2.54E

$2.33E

P/E Ratio

54.1x

41.3x

36.3x

Change

-34.7%

102.3%

13.8%

FYE DEC

FY 2018A

FY 2019E

FY 2020E

Revenue ($ mil.)

ACTUAL

CURRENT

PREVIOUS

CURRENT

PREVIOUS

Q1 Mar

$43.0A

$68.7A

$68.7A

$86.6E

$86.6E

Q2 Jun

$32.6A

$65.7A

$65.7A

$79.9E

$79.9E

Q3 Sep

$40.7A

$69.9A

$57.7E

$84.0E

$69.4E

Q4 Dec

$134.9A

$179.7E

$192.4E

$230.8E

$247.2E

Year*

$251.4A

$384.2E

$384.7E

$481.4E

$483.1E

Change

31.8%

52.8%

25.3%

* Numbers may not add up due to rounding.

* All numbers are non-GAAP.

Q3 '19 Highlights

  • Q3 '19 revenues increased 72% YOY to $69.9 million, reflecting growth across both Medicare (+75% YOY) and individual, family & small business (+59% YOY) segments.
  • In the Medicare business, total submitted applications increased 66%, total approved members rose 70%, and

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This article was written by

2.9K Followers
Singular Research aims to be a trusted supplier of independent research on micro/small cap companies. We provide initiation reports and quarterly updates on roughly 40 uncovered companies. We cover growth and value style equity ideas leveraging the extensive experience and knowledge of our in house staff of over 6 CFA's. Award winning original research with a following of over 105 institutional clients with over $60 billion in assets under mgmt. Singular is closely associated with the existing author Cook Capital Management.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long EHTH. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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