Keurig Dr Pepper: Missing The Market Rally; It May Offer Some Value

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Summary

  • Keurig Dr Pepper recently reported earnings that beat expectations causing a short lived rally.
  • Competitors are offering similar operating performance but have better dividends.
  • Shares have seemingly missed the run by the market to new highs and may offer value at this time given prospects and the overall value of the market.
  • I prefer shares about 10% lower than here but am watching closely.

Source: VendingMarketWatch.com

Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) has now been trading publicly for well over a year. The company was a combination of brand powerhouses that many of us are familiar with. The shares quickly appreciated due to investor hopes for impressive performance and above average growth in the consumer packaged goods category. As the company has reported several quarters of results now, it is clear that the growth may not be as consistent and great as hoped for. However, the company recently reported results that showed some hope for growth as volume and margins both expanded. One quarter of results does not mean consistency however. As the shares have seemingly missed out on the market rally to new highs, I look for an entry point into the company. I would like to see another quarter of consistent growth before paying more than $26 per share though.

KDP Performance

Keurig Dr Pepper recently reported results that looked pretty strong.

Source: Seeking Alpha

Compared to the prior year period, sales grew 5.1% to $2.87 billion, operating income increased 68% to $580 million and EPS grew 91% to $0.21. However, this is reflective of adjusted earnings due to the newly formed company at the time. Operating income increased 180% to $498 million, and adjusted EPS increased 6.7% to $0.32. Overall, the company seemingly reported great results. But a deeper look warrants caution. The gains were driven by increased volume of 1.5%, however, more was driven by higher net prices of 1.6%. Also benefiting the quarter was a 0.3% impact from an additional shipping day. The growth of sales in every operating division enabled the company to generate strong results, cash flow, and debt reduction. For the first nine months of 2019, free cash flow was $1.6 billion and the company reduced debt by $788 million.

This article was written by

3.71K Followers
Started investing at 11 years old. Self taught, taking an analytical all around thought process approach to investing. Look at everything from all angles and every view and you will never miss anything. I believe in collecting dividends from most of my investments, just as an investment in a private company would return profits, so should my stocks. I prefer to invest based on fundamental values, but will consider the story of the company itself when necessary.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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