AIMT Remains Undervalued Before FDA Decision On Palforzia

Vas Research
412 Followers

Summary

  • Although shares of AIMT have risen about 80% in anticipation of FDA approval of Palforzia, it has more room to rise.
  • Palforzia would be the first ever FDA-approved treatment for peanut allergies, with an enormous and increasing population of untreated patients.
  • Multiple phase 3 studies show Palforzia works well, and there is only one potential competitor with an inferior product that failed its phase 3 trial.
  • A recent survey revealed that revenue estimates for Palforzia might be subject to "massive upside" revisions.
  • Nestle Health Science owns about 19% of AIMT and it is logical to believe it will buy the rest.

Aimmune Therapeutics, Inc. (AIMT) has risen more than 80% since early September (from under $20 to near $34 now) in anticipation of the FDA approval of Palfrozia – previously known as AR-101 – as the first ever approved treatment for children who suffer from peanut allergies. But even at current levels, the company is significantly undervalued and has room to increase above $60 in the coming year.

What is Palforzia? Who is it for? How is it administered?

AIMT is seeking FDA approval for Palforzia to treat patients with peanut allergies ages 4-17.

It’s long been recognized that an effective way to treat allergies is to expose patients to the very thing they are allergic to, first in tiny amounts and then steadily increasing the dosage, in order to desensitize patients to the allergen. Palforzia is a treatment whereby peanut protein – 12% defatted peanut flour – is given to children allergic to peanuts.

Palforzia is a pill filled with precisely-measured amounts of peanut protein. One peanut has about 250-300 mg of peanut protein. Palforzia starts with pills that have 0.5 to 6.0 mg of such protein (as little as 1/500th of a peanut) and then steadily increases the dose to 300 mg (about one peanut).

One pill is taken daily, with the pill opened and sprinkled onto food. The dosage increases once every two weeks. The first pill at each new dose must be administered in a doctor’s office under supervision to ensure that any adverse event (AE) can be observed and quickly treated.

After treatment concludes, patients continue to take a daily maintenance pill.

How does Palforzia compare to other allergy treatments?

A staple of allergy treatments today involves patients regularly visiting an allergists office to receive shots. Fortunately for the millions of children who need to be treated

This article was written by

412 Followers
I invest only for myself with no formal securities training. I write these article to share interesting ideas or discoveries that I believe might help others or generate meaningful conversation.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long AIMT. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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