Berry Petroleum: Balance Sheet Strength And Undervalued At $7 With A 7% Yield

Feb. 07, 2020 10:19 AM ETBerry Corporation (BRY) StockOXY, XOM, BRY19 Comments
Hawkinvest
13.45K Followers

Summary

  • Oil prices have declined significantly due to fears over the economic impact of the Coronavirus in China.
  • Influenza kills tens of thousands each year globally, so the economic impact of Coronavirus on oil prices appears very overblown and temporary.
  • Energy stocks are cheap and due for a big rebound as soon as investors regain their wits and realize that containment and a vaccine are within reach.
  • Aside from the virus issue, small cap oil stocks look historically undervalued, and this has caught the attention of legendary investor Peter Lynch.
  • At around $7, Berry Petroleum is trading for just about 5 times earnings; it has a very strong balance sheet and it yields about 7%.

Berry Petroleum Corporation (NASDAQ:BRY) develops and produces oil and natural gas primarily in the Uinta Basin in Utah, the Piceance Basin in Colorado and the San Joaquin Basin in California. This company has a strong balance sheet and it is solidly profitable. It is using this financial strength to further pay off debt, buy back shares, and pay a dividend that yields nearly 7%. One big advantage this company offers is that most of the production it has in California is sold at or near Brent oil prices. At roughly $58 per barrel, it is significantly higher than WTI prices of just around $51 per barrel. This "Brent-influenced oil pricing" and other positives for this company can be seen in the overview shown below:

Source: Berry Petroleum Investor Presentation January 2020

The Chart

As the chart above shows, this stock has been volatile. It was trading for around $9 in early November and then rallied up to $11, only to plunge down to around $7 per share after California announced new initiatives on certain drilling techniques. The stock then rebounded sharply as investors realized the pullback was overdone and just about four weeks later, it was back to trading for about $10 per share. But, then it only took another 3 weeks for the stock to pull back to the $7 range due to a drop in oil prices. The recent decline in oil seems to be primarily due to fears that the Coronavirus in China will spread and cause a global economic slowdown. This appears to be an ideal buying opportunity because it looks like this stock is now putting in a bullish double bottom on the chart.

Furthermore, history has shown us that other virus outbreaks are better at creating buying opportunities than they are at causing any significant

This article was written by

13.45K Followers
Long-time stock market investor focused on strategic buying opportunities with dividend and value stocks. This investment strategy has resulted in a near 5 star rating on Tipranks.com and over 9,000 followers on Seeking Alpha. Follow me on Twitter for my latest trading ideas: @Hawkinvest1

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long BRY. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Data is sourced from Yahoo Finance. No guarantees or representations are made. Hawkinvest is not a registered investment advisor and does not provide specific investment advice. The information is for informational purposes only. You should always consult a financial advisor.

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