PFFD Is A Great Preferred Equity ETF, But Preferred Equity Fundamentals Are Very Bearish

Harrison Schwartz
16.38K Followers

Summary

  • Preferred equity ETFs generally offer higher yields than bonds with the cost of higher credit and inflation risk.
  • The Global X Preferred Equity ETF PFFD has historically outperformed peers since it has a lower expense ratio and slightly higher yield.
  • Preferred equity ETFs tend to be highly sensitive to changes in the Treasury implied inflation expectation rate.
  • Due to the recent rise in bond prices, the inflation expectation rate is now far below actual inflation and is likely to pop back up over coming months.
  • If inflation expectations rise 1% as I expect, PFFD is likely to lose about 10% of its value.

Preferred equity investments have grown in popularity over the past few years as income-seeking investors search for high-yield assets in a very low-yield market. Most preferred equities trade at yields of 5-6% or greater which is far better than investors will find in the bond market and even among most "high dividend equities."

Of the major preferred equity funds, the Global X U.S Preferred ETF (NYSEARCA:PFFD) is one of the best as it has the lowest expense ratio of 23 bps and has generally outperformed its peers. This can be seen below when compared to the Invesco Preferred Portfolio ETF (PGX) and the iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF (PFF):

As you can see, PFFD is the winner by a slight margin. Frankly, the majority of investments and exposure is the same for each of the ETFs, but PFFD's expense ratio is 20-30 bps lower, so it tends to outperform.

Like most Global X yield-oriented ETFs, PFFD pays its dividend monthly at a rate of $0.114 per share. At a price of $25.5 today, this corresponds to a compounded yield of 5.5%.

In my opinion, PFFD is the best preferred equity ETF of the bunch, but it may not be a great time to buy the fund. With interest rates re-touching an all-time low and inflation signals on the rise, fixed-rate funds like PFFD could suffer significant devaluation. As I'll explain, If investors are looking for more stability, they may be best off looking into floating-rate investments.

A Look at PFFD's Exposure

Like most preferred equity funds, PFFD has very high exposure to the financial sectors since banks tend to issue more preferred equity than others. This and the credit quality of its holdings are illustrated below:

(Global X)

As you can see, the fund has high exposure to financials, utilities, and real

This article was written by

16.38K Followers
Harrison is a financial analyst who has been writing on Seeking Alpha since 2018 and has closely followed the market for over a decade. He has professional experience in the private equity, real estate, and economic research industry. Harrison also has an academic background in financial econometrics, economic forecasting, and global monetary economics.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a short position in PFFD over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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