Bayer: A Solid 5% Dividend Yield

Daniel Schönberger
12.99K Followers

Summary

  • Bayer reported solid results for 2019 with all three segments contributing to sales growth.
  • It is still difficult to estimate what a potential settlement could be.
  • With a payout ratio below 40% and a dividend yield of 5%, the stock is interesting for dividend investors.
  • Bayer is trading below its intrinsic value and well supported at €55, but the risks of further declines are high.

About two weeks ago, the German pharmaceutical and life science company Bayer AG (OTCPK:BAYZF) (OTCPK:BAYRY) reported full-year results for 2019 and the numbers were solid. When we go back about a year – the time I wrote the article “Bayer: A Life Science Company Fighting For Its Life” – the headlines were dominated by the acquisition of Monsanto and the following lawsuits. The stock price was really under pressure at that point and trading close to €50.

(Source: Pixabay)

Right now, Bayer’s stock price is trading very close to the 2019 lows again – with the slight difference, that it is not the lawsuits, but the global panic about COVID-19 and the potential economic consequences that are sending stock prices down. We will take the chance to take a closer look at the company, which led the list of the most valuable companies in Germany until a few years ago.

2019: Solid Results

When looking at the stock price of Bayer during the last five years, one has to expect the worst. Against this background, the reported results for 2019 are quite solid and a positive surprise. For the full year, sales increased 3.5% to €43.5 billion (when using the portfolio as well as FX adjusted numbers, which makes sense). According to reported numbers, sales increased 19% - in part due to positive FX effects and especially due to portfolio adjustments. The core earnings per share (which is only including continuing operations) grew 14.3% to €6.40. The company could also improve the EBITDA before special items margin from 24.4% in 2018 to 26.4% in 2019. Only free cash flow declined about 9% to €4.2 billion, but the number was much higher than the company’s previous guidance.

(Source: Bayer Investor Presentation)

As Bayer has sold the Animal Health segment to Elanco

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This article was written by

12.99K Followers
My analysis is focused on high-quality companies, that can outperform the market over the long-run due to a competitive advantage (economic moat) and high levels of defensibility. Focused on European and North American companies, but without constraints regarding market capitalization (from large cap to small cap companies).My academic background is in sociology and I hold a Master’s Degree in Sociology (with main emphasis on organizational and economic sociology) and a Bachelor’s Degree in Sociology and History.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long ELAN. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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