BlackRock: Buying The World's Largest Asset Manager As Markets Tumble

Mar. 15, 2020 1:47 PM ETBlackRock, Inc. (BLK) Stock, BLK StockBLK, BLK24 Comments
Cameron Smith, CFA
2.99K Followers

Summary

  • BlackRock's shares have now dropped around 28% from their 52-week highs of $577 to trade at $414 and a 14.5x TTM P/E.
  • Factoring in BlackRock's growth over the past decade, it yields cheap PEG ratios around 0.9x for EPS growth and for 1.2x revenue growth.
  • BlackRock has done a great job of returning cash to shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks that indicate total shareholder yields of 5.5%.

Shares of BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) are looking like a compelling opportunity for long-term investors in these distressed markets. The shares have now dropped around 28% from their 52-week highs of $577 to trade at $414 and a 14.5x TTM P/E. That fall has pushed the dividend yield all the way up to 3.5%. Adding in average share buybacks of 2% since 2008, total shareholder returns are an even stronger 5.5% Buying the index at market lows is often a good investment for long-term investors, and buying the largest asset management company in a market slump, whose revenues are directly tied to market asset values, should be just as good a move, if not better.

An Intro to the Company

BlackRock is the largest asset manager in the world and collects revenue from administration fees, performance fees, investment advisory fees, security lending fees, distribution fees, and technology service revenues. Base fees earned on assets under management (AUM) make up the large majority of revenues at 81% for 2019, but this segment has a somewhat diversified client base within it. Breaking down AUM fees, BlackRock's popular iShares ETF products made up only 30% of AUM fees in 2019 with Retail and Institutional AUM making up the bulk of the rest.

Sourced from 2019 financial statements

A Highly Profitable and Growing Company

BlackRock's position as the largest global asset manager with a diverse product offering has allowed the company to generate superior returns. While the company is cyclical along with the stock market due to it earning fees on AUM, operations have consistently remained profitable over the past 12 years, including the financial crisis.

Source data from Morningstar

Since 2008, the company has achieved an average return on equity [ROE] and return on invested capital [ROIC] of 10.3% and 8.9% respectively. This level

This article was written by

2.99K Followers
Through always enjoying the concepts of value creation and business management it has allowed me to explore potential investments at an academic and strategic level. My investment ideas are presented through two sides; with the most important being financial performance and the second most important being valuation. In my opinion, if a company does not meet certain financial criteria, a valuation of that company can only mean something if you are investing in the senior debt at best or if you are purely speculating at worst. Focusing on return on invested capital (ROIC), I classify potential investments as either long-term/indefinite investments, medium-term investments, or value traps. 1) Long-term/Indefinite: ROIC of greater than 9% and able to grow intrinsic value 2) Medium-term: ROIC of 6 – 9% and able to maintain intrinsic value. 3) Value Traps: ROIC of less than 6% and not able to meet their cost of capital My investing philosophy stems from Warren Buffett’s focus on long-term moats and value creation while expanding to include potential growth opportunities from the approach of Peter Lynch. At heart, I am a long-term investor that looks to buy value opportunities at a 30 per cent discount to intrinsic value with the potential to earn over 9 per cent return on equity (ROE) adjusted for the equity value per share that is paid at purchase. I believe growth is always a subjective variable but can be estimated through a product of retained earnings and the companies return on equity given the variability of both in the past decade.Disclaimer: While the information and data presented in my articles are obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, they have not been independently verified. The material is intended only as general information for your convenience, and should not in any way be construed as investment advice. I advise readers to conduct their own independent research to build their own independent opinions and/or consult a qualified investment advisor before making any investment decisions. I explicitly disclaim any liability that may arise from investment decisions you make based on my articles.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long BLK. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I am long BLK with an average cost base of $406.98.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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