International Paper Company: Wait For The Next Page

Summary

  • International Paper announced dividend of 0.5125 per share on Feb 20, 2020, which translates to a 6.35% annual yield.
  • Be careful in translating this good annual yield into an investment decision as this spike from the previous quarter's 4.61% is due to bearish sentiment dragging prices down.
  • As of writing, COVID-19 is taking the global markets by storm but the paper manufacturer, down by 26.48% YoY, looks even grimmer when compared to NYSE Composite of -6.11%.
  • Overall, the printing segment is in a bad position with the sales down 8% in the prior-year quarter.

Despite retaining dividends on 50-cent levels, everything else looks sub-optimal for the company highlighted by the Net Income decrease of 25% to $1.23B combined with the supply chain problems brought by the Pandemic. Digitalization is affecting the business but International Paper (NYSE:IP) is leaning on sustainability as its main driving force.

Supply Chain Woes

With the current suspension of Europe travels to the US and the lockdown of different countries due to the virus, the supply chain for global manufacturers such as International Paper will be greatly affected.

Industrial Packaging comprises 69% of the Paper Manufacturer's total Revenue.

Italy, one of Europe's largest producers of corrugated cardboard (second only to Germany), is one of the major countries that have already declared a lockdown. It is expected that these types of disruptions will affect the supply of Raw Materials and it will be a ripple effect from there. The costs associated with backorders, and alternative logistics & procurement procedures to mitigate stockouts and customer attrition will shoot up the company's operational expenses.

The Cash Flow/Share is still sufficiently sitting at 5.72 (TTM) but has been on a steady decline since Q2 of 2019.

Analysts: Don't pass your Papers yet

The general sentiment by Analysts results in an average "Hold" rating. With the stock currently hovering around the $28-30 range, the $45.36 price target suggests a possible upside of up to 62%.

Source: Marketbeat Price Target and Consensus Rating

On the flip side, said estimates are still to be taken with a grain of salt until sentiments have shown signs of recovery.

Digitalization means trouble

The rapid growth of Digitalization, AI and Machine Learning in all industries is already being felt by the Printing Industry. Over time, the transition from traditional packaging and print products to digital media is imminent.

Obviously, this means

This article was written by

I am a part time investor, focused on long term value investing and risk arbitrage opportunities. I believe success in the stock market boils down to information. The more information and facts you have about a stock, the more successful you'll become as an investor.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About IP Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on IP

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
IP
--