The 13 Best Dividend Aristocrats To Buy In This Uncertain Economy

Apr. 16, 2020 3:54 PM ET, , , , , , , , , , , , 83 Comments

Summary

  • Last week the S&P 500 had its best week since 1974, roaring higher by 12%. That defies the mounting economic damage the US is facing and plummeting earnings expectations.
  • Many believe the market has been crazy hot lately as multiples are starting to outpace steadily-deteriorating fundamentals.
  • When facing the worst recession in 75 years, income investors should trust the bluest of blue chips, such as dividend aristocrats and kings for the equity portfolio of their portfolios.
  • While no dividends are ever 100% guaranteed, aristocrats are some of the best dividend stocks you can buy right now, even with the worst recession in 75 years bearing down on us.
  • They are not guaranteed to not fall in the coming weeks, but as part of a diversified and prudently-risk managed portfolio, with proper cash/bond allocations, they can make excellent additions to a bunker dividend growth portfolio.
  • Looking for more stock ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at The Dividend Kings. Get started today »

(Source: Imgflip)

Many investors think the market is acting a bit crazy right now.

(Source: Ploutos)

Last week we saw the S&P 500 soar 12% in four days, the 8th best week in market history.

(Source: Ycharts)

Since bottoming (so far) on March 23 (at -35% from the peak, intra-day) the broader market surged 25% in a matter of two weeks.

During periods of high uncertainty, investors are often balanced on the knife-edge between fear and fear of missing out. That's what causes both panic selling and panic buying.

(Source: Brian Gilmartin)

Earnings expectations have fallen off a cliff in recent weeks, as one would expect when about 30% of the US economy (according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics) has shutdown.

Since the start of the year, the 2020 consensus EPS forecast has fallen by about 18% and individual analyst estimates for earnings this year range from about -35% to -15%.

The economic news coming in each week is likely to steadily get worse.

(Source: MarketWatch)

Retail sales last month fell by 8.7%, almost three times the previous record set back in November 2008.

(Source: MarketWatch)

New unemployment claims have reached such proportions as to boggle the imagination, 17 million in three weeks.

The Empire State Index, which measures North East manufacturing, fell a record 57 points last month.

(Source: Ycharts)

Manufacturing has never been in worse shape. Severely depressed demand, supply disruptions, and extremely high uncertainty will keep manufacturing on an extremely weak trajectory in the near term.” -Oren Klachkin, Oxford Economics

The blue chip economist consensus, consisting of the 16 most accurate economists, keeps getting worst each week.

(Source: MarketWatch)

The Q2 contraction is already expected to be more than double the 1958 single-quarter record of -10%. And while Q3's bounce back is expected to be strong, we're still expected

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Dividend Kings helps you determine the best safe dividend stocks to buy via our Valuation Tool, Research Terminal & Phoenix Watchlist. Membership also includes

  • Access to our five model portfolios
  • Daily Phoenix Portfolio Buys
  • 30 exclusive articles per month
  • Our weekly podcast
  • 20% discount to F.A.S.T Graphs
  • real-time chatroom support
  • exclusive weekly updates to all my retirement portfolio trades 
  • Our "Learn How To Invest Better" Library

Click here for a two-week free trial so we can help you achieve better long-term total returns and your financial dreams.

This article was written by

115.74K Followers

Dividend Sensei (Adam Galas) is an Army veteran and stock analyst with 20+ years of market experience.

He is a founding author of the investing group The Dividend Kings which focuses on helping investors safeguard and grow their money in all market conditions through the highest-quality dividend investments. Dividend Sensei and the team of analysts (Brad Thomas, Justin Law, Nicholas Ward, Chuck Carnevale, and Sebastian Wolf) help members invest more intelligently in dividend stocks. Features include: 13 model portfolios, buy ideas, company research reports, and a thriving chat community for readers looking to learn how to invest more intelligently in dividend stocks. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long ABBV, ADP, TROW, GD, MO, MMM, FRT. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Dividend Kings owns ABBV, ADP, TROW, GD, MO, MMM, LOW, and FRT in our portfolios.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
ABBV--
AbbVie Inc.
ADP--
Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
EMR--
Emerson Electric Co.
FRT--
Federal Realty Investment Trust
GD--
General Dynamics Corporation

Related Analysis