Planet Fitness: The Risks Are Too Heavy

Value Kicker
4.33K Followers

Summary

  • Planet Fitness focuses on a low-cost and high volume business model and has grown its memberships by focusing on casual gym-goers.
  • The pandemic makes it difficult for gyms to operate as well as could shift consumers toward home workouts.
  • The company is trading at an expensive valuation and carries a lot of debt.

The advent of COVID-19 may have changed the way we work and the way we play forever. Investing now requires us to imagine what a post-pandemic world would look like. I have long believed that the most likely outcome is the gradual and slow re-opening of the economy with social distancing to persist for months on end. Given this situation, certain business models may not survive or would need to be altered in order to operate post-pandemic. Planet Fitness (NYSE:PLNT) is one such company whose entire business model may need to be re-evaluated for a post-COVID-19 world.

Just a brief background on the company; Planet Fitness is a franchisor and operator of a chain of gyms predominantly in the US. Planet Fitness rose to prominence by being more inclusive and offering a non-intimidating/judgment-free environment at a much cheaper price. Planet Fitness memberships are about $10-20 while the industry median according to the company's 10-K is about $71.

The company targets the casual gym users and no fitness buff as these people may find traditional gyms intimidating and expensive. The equipment in Planet Fitness' gyms is of high quality and the company has limited the number of staff available on site. The square space tends to be smaller than its competitors' and is lacking non-essential amenities like pools, daycare or juice bars, etc. In other words, it is a low-cost and high-volume business model.

Investor Presentation

COVID-19 is a disruption to the business model

As I’ve discussed in my article on Peloton (PTON), social distancing is a large hindrance to the traditional gym model. This is because large groups of people who are all sweating bodily fluids in a confined space is a potential hotbed for viruses. In order to reopen, gyms may have to change

This article was written by

4.33K Followers
Nine to 5 by day. Hobbyist stock trader by night. I got an MBA and a CFA ... so that should count for something. I only care about my own greedy interests and I love feeding trolls. Not your financial advisor. Information for entertainment purposes only. Diamond hands are forever.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Caveat emptor! (Buyer beware.) Please do your own proper due diligence on any stock directly or indirectly mentioned in this article. You probably should seek advice from a broker or financial adviser before making any investment decisions. I don't know you or your specific circumstances, therefore, your tolerance and suitability to take risks may differ. This article should be considered general information, and not relied on as a formal investment recommendation.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About PLNT Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on PLNT

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
PLNT
--