BRF SA - Growing Stronger During The Pandemic

May 12, 2020 1:49 PM ETBRF S.A. (BRFS) StockBRFS3 Comments
James Cherry
1.11K Followers

Summary

  • In my opinion, BRFS is undervalued and should provide investors with almost 25% of an alpha this year.
  • The company seems to be going in the right direction now, and they seem firm in sticking to their strategy.
  • BRF SA's profitability strategy is showing good results on its gross margin.

As I mentioned in my last article on BRF SA, I would be updating my valuation on the company to reflect the new information from their first-quarter results. I also participated in their 1Q20 conference call to get a better understanding of the company's strategy to improve its profitability. Reading a company's strategy tends to generate more questions than it answers since it usually is less detailed and very bland. Listening to them talk about allowed me to understand the details of the strategy.

Quick risk overview, BRF SA was involved in several political corruption scandals. The economic effects of these scandals have already been accounted for during the past couple of years. Though the accounting effects have been taken into consideration, the negative impact on their brands continues. The company's brands (both international and domestic) suffered from these scandals as it was a very public ordeal.

Overview Of 1Q20 Results

The company's 1Q20 results were better than my estimates on the top line but less than my estimates on the bottom line. The company's total net sales exceeded my expectation by about 3% (+R$ 238 million). This was a result of a higher increase in Net Sales in the international market (not in volume) than I had estimated. The company's bottom line was lower than my estimates (-R$248 million), for two reasons. First, the company took a write-down of 81 million reais where 24 million was for expected losses in accounts receivable, and 14 million was an asset retirement expenses. According to the CEO, these provisions of 38 million were a direct result of COVID-19. Lastly, the effect of the exchange rate on their financial expenses was a lot higher than my original estimates. The net interest expense issue has been addressed in my model.

Key Financial Indicators for BRF SASource: 1Q20 Management Report

This article was written by

1.11K Followers
I am the Head of Content Strategy at Sproutfi, a fintech located in Brazil that is democratizing investing in Latin America.  I have over 13 years of experience in the Food Industry, ranging from plant engineer to Corporate Development and FP&A.You, the reader, will notice that most of my articles were written about investment ideas I was researching for my investments.My alma mater is the University of Arkansas, where I graduated with a BA and an MSc in Operations Management. I served in the United States Army for six years and was deployed several times, including in Iraq. After completing my military obligation, I moved to Brazil to begin my career in Finance. I received an MBA in International Business from FIA/FEA at the University of Sao Paulo. I have passed the Level 1 and Level 2 CFA Exams. My hobbies are: playing the guitar and drums, longboarding, mountain biking, scuba diving, reading non-fiction books, and giving financial advice to low-income households.Any article in Seeking Alpha reflects my opinion and not the opinion of Sproutfi.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in BRFS over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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