Why We Went Long On Tencent Music Entertainment

Motek Moyen
6.75K Followers

Summary

  • We went long on Sogou because the majority of it is owned by cash-rich Tencent. This is also the primary reason why we went long on Tencent Music.
  • Having a cash-rich and powerful parent firm ensures the long-term viability and prosperity of the Tencent Music Entertainment group.
  • Tencent Music is also wealthy, with almost $3 billion in cash and short-term investments. The company's total debt is only $18.6 million.
  • Unlike Spotify, Tencent Music is profitable. Tencent Music is our big bet on China's $53 billion/year music industry.
  • Paid streaming entertainment is a pandemic-boosted industry. The new normal of stay-at-home, work-from-home, learn-from-home lifestyle encourage more people to try music streaming.

We went long on Sogou (SOGO) because Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) owns 70% of it. This is the same reason why we made a bet on Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME). Tencent still owns more than 62% of TME. We are prudent investors. Having a powerful and cash-rich parent company assured us that Tencent Music has long-term longevity. Tencent's hoard of $28.21 billion in cash and short-term investments can boost Tencent Music. Tencent's recent purchase of a 10% stake in Universal Music Group was obviously for the benefit of TME.

tencent music entertainment logo

(Source: Tencent Music Entertainment)

Tencent Music is a high-growth investment. Tencent Music touts a 3-year revenue CAGR of 66.43%. Its 3-year normalized net income CAGR is also 122.52%. A fast-growing company that is also very profitable is a solid gold buy-and-hold-forever stock. TME is our bet on China's growing $53 billion/year music industry.

tme1

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

TME is currently trading below its December 12, 2018, IPO day's closing price of $14.19. This is an aberration. Paid music streaming is a pandemic-boosted industry. Goldman Sachs analysts already identified Tencent Music as the new no. 3 in music streaming by 2030. The low monthly subscription fees of TME will eventually help it outpace the growth of Apple Music (AAPL).

tme2

(Source: Seeking Alpha)

TME is no. 1 in China, with a 70% market share. China is still unable to solve its COVID-19 dilemma. Expect more Chinese to stay at home, work-from-home, and learn from home. Most Chinese citizens will eventually try paid music and video streaming services. They need to because it can ease the tedious existence of quarantine living. Listening to our favorite music contributes a lot to our mental fitness. Quarantine rules are bad for mental health.

As of last year, Tencent Music is only ranked no. 4 in terms of market share

This article was written by

6.75K Followers
Motek Moyen is a financial analyst, technician, and Adobe multimedia content creator. He studied Mathematics, Commercial Advertising, and Computer Science in the 1990s. He does not trade stocks.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long TME, TCEHY, AAPL, AMZN, SOGO. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

Recommended For You

About TME Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
Market Cap
PE
Yield
Rev Growth (YoY)
Short Interest
Prev. Close
Compare to Peers

More on TME

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
TME
--