VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN Headed Into Retirement

Summary

  • Credit Suisse announces intent to delist and suspend issuance of its VelocityShares ETNs.
  • UGAZ has been a poor substitute for being long natural gas due to its leverage and roll yield headwinds.
  • The elimination of these ETNs should direct more investor capital towards the undervalued natural gas producers.
  • This idea was discussed in more depth with members of my private investing community, The Contrarian. Get started today »

If everybody indexed, the only word you could use is chaos, catastrophe… The markets would fail."

- John Bogle, May 2017

I will go to my grave... believing that really loose monetary policy greatly contributed to the Financial Crisis. There were obviously problems with regulation, but when we had a 1% Fed Funds rate in 2003 after, to me, it was pretty obvious that the economy had turned (up) and I think the economy was growing at 7% to 9% nominal in the fourth quarter of 2003 and that wasn't enough for the Fed. They had this little thing called 'considerable period' on top of the 1% rate just so we would make sure that their meaning was clear. And it was all wrapped around this concept of an insurance cut… I've made some money predicting boom-bust cycles. It's what I do. Sometimes I am right. Sometimes I am wrong, but every bust I had ever seen was proceeded by an asset bubble generally set up by too loose policy..."

- Stanley Druckenmiller

Try to buy assets at a discount rather than earnings. Earnings can change dramatically in a short time. Usually, assets change slowly. One has to know how much more about a company if one buys earnings."

- Walter Schloss

A 60:40 allocation to passive long-only equities and bonds has been a great proposition for the last 35 years… We are profoundly worried that this could be a risky allocation over the next 10."

- Sanford C. Bernstein & Company Analysts (January 2017)

Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria."

- Sir John Templeton

Life and investing are long ballgames."

- Julian Robertson

(Author's Photo)

Introduction

After a tumultuous spring of 2020, where daily and weekly volatility exceeded what I

The Contrarian

There is historic opportunity in the investment markets today.  I have spent thousands of hours analyzing the markets, looking for the best opportunities, looking to replicate what I have been able to accomplish in the past.  From my perspective, the opportunities in targeted out-of-favor equities today are every bit as big as the best opportunities in early 2016, and late 2008/early 2009.  For further perspective on these opportunities, consider a membership to The Contrarian, sign up here to join.

This article was written by

27.83K Followers

KCI Research, aka Travis, has been a financial professional for over 20 years. Formerly a director of research at a mid-sized RIA, and one of four strategic investment decision makers at one of the largest RIA's in the United States, Travis founded his own boutique investment firm in February of 2009. He specializes in against grain investing backed by real-world wisdom and experience by targeting out-of-favor, contrarian investment opportunities.

Travis is the leader of the Investing Group The Contrarian where he shares premium research and uncovers investment gems hidden in plain sight. Travis shares an all weather portfolio for minimal volatility along with a concentrated best-ideas portfolio.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long AR, CNX, EQT, OXY, RRC, SWN, XOM. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Every investor's situation is different. Positions can change at any time without warning. Please do your own due diligence and consult with your financial advisor, if you have one, before making any investment decisions. The author is not acting in an investment adviser capacity. The author's opinions expressed herein address only select aspects of potential investment in securities of the companies mentioned and cannot be a substitute for comprehensive investment analysis. The author recommends that potential and existing investors conduct thorough investment research of their own, including a detailed review of the companies' SEC filings. Any opinions or estimates constitute the author's best judgment as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice.

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