The stock market has had a strong rally since the March lows, but there are still some incredible buying opportunities for investors who believe that a vaccine is coming in the next several months or so. The tech sector has been leading the rally and a number of stocks in this industry have reached record highs. That could be an indication that the market is forecasting a return to normalcy in the not too distant future. If this is the case, there are many stocks that could play catch up and also be poised to hit record highs as soon as a successful vaccine is announced, or when the virus appears to be contained as it now seems to be in many countries including China.
I realize that there is always some possibility that a vaccine will not be formulated for Coronavirus, but I think the chance of that is small. There are so many companies working on this, so the odds are that an effective or even partially effective vaccine will help to conquer this global pandemic. It's also worth noting that no pandemic has ever lasted for too long, with or without a vaccine. As such, it makes sense to be bullish, especially with all of the stimulus being shoveled out the door by central banks around the world.
I think a year from now, the Coronavirus will fade from our view, either because of a vaccine or just because it is under control due to some potential for herd immunity and contact tracing. I still expect elevated unemployment numbers a year from now, but I believe this will be improving over time. If it plays out this way, it means that investors will be left with extremely low interest rates for the foreseeable future and that means there is no real alternative to