The Reasons Why I Bought VPU This Week

Summary

  • Despite a cautious outlook on equities as a whole, I initiated a position in the Utilities sector through VPU this past week.
  • With equity markets recovering broadly, I am concerned a correction will be forthcoming. If so, I see Utilities faring better than the market, as the sector offers a relative value.
  • VPU will benefit as economies open back up and production resumes. Further, as more employees work remotely, residential demand for energy and electricity will remain high.

Main Thesis

The purpose of this article is to evaluate the Vanguard Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA:VPU) as an investment option at its current market price. As a working professional who adds money to the market every month, I am having difficulty finding value right now. Historically, when that is the case, I would increase my fixed income and broad market positions. While I have indeed been buying investment grade corporate and municipal bonds, I have built those positions up to the point where I need to put some cash to work in equities. However, I am reluctant to put cash in my broad funds, such as the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), because the S&P 500 looks increasingly overvalued. As a result, I am adding to the sectors that have the most relative value, and Utilities fits the bill. The sector has been hit hard by COVID-19 like the rest of the market, but it is more resilient long term than its cyclical counterparts. Earnings estimates for the sector have not been cut significantly, and with production numbers increasing in the U.S., commercial demand for power is likely to move higher in the coming months. With the expectation that volatility will remain elevated in the second half of the year, I see Utilities as a smart play.

Background

First, a little about VPU. The fund's stated objective is "to track the performance of a benchmark index that measures the investment return of stocks in the utilities sector" and is managed by Vanguard. The fund trades at $128.82/share and yields 3.34% annually. I held a bullish rating on VPU during my last review, when I felt the fund would move higher as the economy began to get over the COVID-19 pandemic. Unfortunately, VPU has lagged since then, with economic growth stalling as new COVID-19 cases rose. The market has moved higher anyway, driven higher

This article was written by

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I am a macro-focused investor with 15 years experience working in Financial Services. My niche is finding under-valued sectors and thematic ideas (metals, gold, crypto) at opportune entry points.

The first half of my career was in New York, working professionally after college (BS - Finance and D1 Men's Tennis). I relocated to North Carolina for graduate school (MBA) and employment. I am fortunate to spend half my time in Charlotte and half in Asheville.

I grew up in a middle-class family where a strong work ethic was mandatory (German/Slovak mother). I went to college with $10,000 to my name and I thought that was all the money in the world. Twenty years later, I'm fortunate enough to co-manage a seven-figure investment account with my wife, who is also an astute investor. I'm literally living proof that diligent saving and investing can be life changing.

I make a habit of keeping my portfolio up-to-date, which my followers can see here. I take pride in writing about funds, stocks, and sectors that I actually follow and invest in, and I believe my followers appreciate that approach.

Broad market: DIA, VOO, QQQM, RSP

Sectors/Non-US: XLE/IXC; VPU/IDU/BUI, FEZ, SCHF, EWC

Alternatives: Bitcoin, IAU (Gold)

Stocks: JPM, MCD, WMT, FLUT, MAA

Debt: BGT, Municipal bonds from North Carolina

I also contribute to the investing group CEF/ETF Income Laboratory where I specialize in macro analysis. Features of CEF/ETF Income Laboratory include: managed income portfolios (targeting safe and reliable ~8% yields) making use of high-yield opportunities in the CEF and ETF fund space. These are geared toward both active and passive investors of all experience levels. The vast majority of holdings are also monthly-payers, for faster compounding and steady income streams. Other features include 24/7 chat, and trade alerts. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long VPU. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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