Danone: A Good Opportunity To Buy This Global Leader

Carles Diaz Caron
1.07K Followers

Summary

  • Danone is a buy and hold company trading at a fair price.
  • It was mistakenly supposed to be a stockpiling winner, so the recent selloff represents a nice discount.
  • Dividend is safe and yield is at highs, surpassed only once in history.
  • Buyers should be vigilant of a potential second price crash if a second lockdown takes place.

Investment thesis

Danone (OTCQX:DANOY) (OTCQX:GPDNF) is a very mature and stable company that currently trades at a fair price. As people have stockpiled products of big consumer packaged goods companies during the current coronavirus pandemic crisis, Danone was poised to benefit from this exceptional consumer behavior. This supposed tailwind was supposed to temporarily boost sales and revenues, which would help the company throughout its deleveraging process. H1 results proved that was not the case, although the results were not bad after all. The company currently pays a ~3.50% dividend yield, which is very high compared to the past. Still, the company has ample resources to continue paying it. From this point on, buyers should expect a 3.50% yield, which should grow along with inflation and a slight organic growth over time. For this reason, now is a good time for dividend growth investors to consider adding a small position, while waiting for a possible further drop in share price in case lockdown measures come back to the lives of consumers in the short term.

A brief overview of the company

Danone is a French agri-food multinational founded in 1919. It is the largest French consumer packaged goods company and its main specialty is dairy products. This century-old company was founded in Barcelona. Back then, the entire Danone's universe that we know today was still formed by just a small yogurt factory located in the Raval neighborhood. Today, Danone employs over 100,000 people around the world, and operates in more than 120 countries.

Danone brands

Source: Danone's website

Their main brand is Danone, a yogurt-based brand that sells yogurts and drinking yogurt of all kinds of flavors, including strawberry, banana, blueberries, and kéfir, but their portfolio of brands include an immense range of products, including probiotics, smoothies, purees, custards, protein-based beverages, and a big, etc. Their brands generally include gluten-free, lactose-free, and fat-free versions, and have been constantly adapting to

This article was written by

1.07K Followers
Subscribe for an average ~14% return per year according to Tipranks. I am a long-term Dividend Growth Investor always looking for new opportunities in the stock market since 2015. In order to find good deals in the stock market, I look for companies that are going through a bad time and carefully assess the chances that the financial situation will return to the path of profitability and growth. My objective is to find stocks that can be bought and held for many years and try to get them for the lowest price possible during temporary headwinds. For me, the most important aspects when analyzing a stock's turnaround chances are that the company's products are essential to a big portion of the population, healthy and stable profit margins, a sustainable debt and dividend, and a long-term trend that suggests the products and services offered will continue to be essential for the decades to come.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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