Allegiant Could Lead The Airlines Out Of This Crisis

Josh Arnold
24.79K Followers

Summary

  • ALGT has been a proven leader in the airlines space.
  • Its focus on low-cost, low-competition routes is a winning strategy.
  • I see it as reasonably valued today.

Source

The airlines have been an interesting industry to watch this year, to say the least. Travel all but stopped earlier this year due to global shutdowns, and to a large extent, much of the world is still either closed off, or operating at reduced capacity. Small wonder then that airline stocks were absolutely crushed starting in March of this year, with one example being Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT).

The budget airline operator has been a strong performer for years, focusing on profitable routes and no-frills service that has resonated with spending-conscious consumers. That performance has extended to the stock as well, as we can see below, with a YTD comparison between Allegiant and its industry group.

Allegiant has continued to grow in a variety of environments and while this year is an ugly exception, I think the company's operating history and outperformance of its peers will continue for years to come. That makes the stock worth a look on the long side.

Favorable fundamentals

Allegiant's model isn't necessarily a new or different way to run an airline; it operates in much the same way as the other budget carriers. However, Allegiant has executed extremely well in the past in terms of selecting routes and flying them with low costs.

Source: Investor presentation

Allegiant's strategy is centered around flying routes with little or no competition, which affords it some pricing power, but also a captive audience. Indeed, if there is perhaps one alternative - or in a lot of cases, no alternative - for a particular route, Allegiant can set the schedule according to its assessment of the most profitable way to run that route. Repeat that a few hundred times over, and you have an airline with a very profitable network of routes.

For this strategy to work, operating costs have

This article was written by

24.79K Followers
Josh Arnold has been covering financial markets for a decade, utilizing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to identify potential winners early on in their growth cycles. Josh's focus is mainly on growth stocks. His goal is efficient and profitable use of capital, which overly rigid buy-and-hold strategies do not allow. Josh is the leader of the investing group Timely Trader where he focuses on limiting risk and maximizing potential reward. Features of Timely Trader include: real-time alerts, a model portfolio, technical charts, sentiment indicators, and sector analysis to find the best trading opportunities. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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