The Fed Sends A Bullish Signal To The Gold Market

Summary

  • Chairman Powell said that the inflation rate target is an average rather than a line in the sand.
  • Gold has been consolidating since the early August new high and correction.
  • Open interest reflects a continuation of the bull market in gold.
  • The trend in the dollar, uncertainty, and rising inflation is bullish for gold.
  • Gold bulls should consider JNUG to turbocharge results during the next rally.
  • Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Hecht Commodity Report. Get started today »

Gold is a currency. It is the oldest means of exchange in the world. Long before there were dollars, euros, pounds, or any other world foreign exchange instruments in circulation today, there was gold. Thousands of years ago, gold was a currency, a store of wealth, and a symbol of affluence. Gold is a unique commodity as it is a metal and an exchange instrument.

Central banks around the globe validate the role of gold in the financial system. Many governments hold the yellow metal and report their ownership monthly in statistics released by the International Monetary Fund. Some countries, like China and Russia, do not report their stockpiles of the precious metal, as they consider the data a state secret and matter of national security.

Over the past years, countries have been net buyers of the precious metal. The decline of fiat currencies has thrust the gold market into a bullish trend that started after the turn of this century.

London is the hub of the international gold market. Ironically, the British government sold half their gold stash at prices below $300 per ounce back in 1999-2001. Gold broke out of its long-term consolidation pattern in June 2019 when the price rose above technical resistance at $1377.50 per ounce. Over the past year and two months, the price rose to a high that was $685.50 above the breakout level on the continuous futures contract on the COMEX division of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

The Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares (NYSEARCA:JNUG) often outperforms the price action in the gold market on the upside.

Chairman Powell said that the inflation rate target is an average rather than a line in the sand

At the annual Jackson Hole conference, which went virtual this year because of the pandemic, Fed Chairman

The Hecht Commodity Report is one of the most comprehensive commodities reports available today from the #2 ranked author in both commodities and precious metals. My weekly report covers the market movements of 20 different commodities and provides bullish, bearish and neutral calls; directional trading recommendations, and actionable ideas for traders. I just reworked the report to make it very actionable!

This article was written by

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Andrew Hecht is a 35-year Wall Street veteran covering commodities and precious metals.

He runs the investing group The Hecht Commodity Report, one of the most comprehensive commodities services available. It covers the market movements of 20 different commodities and provides bullish, bearish and neutral calls; directional trading recommendations, and actionable ideas for traders. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

The author always has positions in commodities markets in futures, options, ETF/ETN products, and commodity equities. These long and short positions tend to change on an intraday basis. The author is long gold.

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