The Liberty SiriusXM Group: A Diversified Media Play

Summary

  • Diversified media company gives exposure to a variety of re-opening plays.
  • Better value than alternatives as LSXMK has not yet priced in upside opportunities.
  • Stable radio exposure plus cheaper option on broader entertainment brands.
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Big companies have small moves, small companies have big moves. - Peter Lynch

As we continue to see more good news each day about re-openings, one way to gain exposure is by buying The Liberty SiriusXM Group (LSXMK). The stock bottomed in March and has yet to recover to pre-pandemic levels, presenting a buying opportunity. LSXMK is a diversified communications company with holdings in multiple areas that will benefit from movements back to re-openings, yet the stock is lagging the broader market, and has traded in a narrow range since mid-June as shown below.

LSXMK’s holdings are anchored by ownership in satellite radio company SiriusXM Satellite Radio. Sirius XM (SIRI) and its subsidiary Pandora, the largest ad-supported audio entertainment streaming service in the U.S., reach over 100 million people each month. Listeners have multiple options for accessing the services, including at home and in vehicles. The recently announced acquisition of Stitcher will increase the company’s exposure to the fast-growing podcast sector.

Stable radio signal plays on

In the midst of changing consumer preferences, Sirius XM shows stability with second quarter 2020 Adjusted EBITDA roughly unchanged at $615 million. Sirius XM reported net subscriber additions of 264,000 in the quarter as well as an improved churn. Pandora reported a year-over-year increase of 2.4% in average monthly listening hours per active ad-supported use for the second quarter.

Sirius XM resumed share repurchases in April and accessed the debt markets in June, both positive signs. The entire $1.75 billion revolving credit facility was undrawn and available at the end of the second quarter. Sirius XM ended the quarter with net debt to trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA of 3.0x.

Additional signs of strength are in the company’s full-year guidance, which calls for Sirius XM to be free cash flow positive in 2020. For the full year, Sirius

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This article was written by

30.59K Followers
Michael A. Gayed is portfolio manager, and author of five award-winning research papers on market anomalies and investing. He has a BS with a double major in Finance & Management from NYU Stern School of Business, and is a CFA Charterholder. Michael runs the investing group The Lead-Lag Report, focused on helping investors outperform in all market conditions. It offers a tactical, data-driven approach to investing, to achieve long-term success even in the face of uncertainty. With increasing market volatility, it's essential to understand risk-on/risk-off signals, seize high-yield opportunities, and leverage award-winning research to maximize returns. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

This writing is for informational purposes only and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC undertakes no obligation to update this article even if the opinions expressed change. It does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation regarding any securities transaction. It also does not offer to provide advisory or other services in any jurisdiction. The information contained in this writing should not be construed as financial or investment advice on any subject matter. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims all liability in respect to actions taken based on any or all of the information on this writing.

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