Archer-Daniels-Midland: Reasonable Valuation, And A Great Margin Of Safety

Nikolaos Sismanis
8.56K Followers

Summary

  • Archer-Daniels-Midland operates in a mature industry with predictable demand and stable operations.
  • While the company's margins are razor-thin, profitability is consistent, while the dividend remains largely covered.
  • While the stock does not offer explosive returns, it can be an ideal pick for income-oriented portfolios, despite some risks.

In a search for attractively priced, income-producing equities, investors will usually research the companies that have a proven, long track record of growing distributions. As a result, dividend aristocrats, the stocks that can display a track record of at least 25 years of consecutive dividend increases may provide multiple investable opportunities for income-oriented investors.

However, despite the financial resiliency and prolonged periods of commitment to shareholder returns, blindly investing in dividend aristocrats is not necessarily a wise choice. Some of them may keep on increasing their dividends, despite being financially distressed, like Exxon Mobil (XOM), which could potentially not end well. Others may display rapidly-growing financials and prospects, like Ecolab (ECL). Still, their premium valuation may not make them the most suitable pick for income investors, considering their low yield.

Today, however, we believe that one of the dividend aristocrats offers a balanced investment case featuring a decent dividend, a reasonable valuation, and modest growth prospects. That is, Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM).

In this article, we will:

  • Discuss the company's financials and some factors related to its business model.
  • Assess the stock's valuation, dividend growth, and overall return potential.
  • Conclude why shares could be a great fit in income-oriented portfolios.

Financials and business model

Archer-Daniels-Midland's businesses involve the processing of cereal grains and oilseeds, as well as the storage and transportation of various agricultural and related products. Because oilseeds and corn are extremely important for the needs of households, restaurants, and the food industry in general, their demand is very stable without adverse fluctuations over the years. With the exception of minor production corn issues in Q2, the company's processed volumes remain primarily solid on a quarterly basis.

Source: Investor presentation

As a result of trading agricultural products, which are subject to fluctuating commodity prices, the company's financials are directly affected by such

This article was written by

8.56K Followers
Nikolaos Sismanis holds a BSc in Banking and Finance and has over five years of experience as an equities analyst. He covers a variety of growth stocks and income stocks, including identifying those with the highest expected return potential, and a solid margin of safety. He is a contributing author to the investing group Wheel of Fortune where they share actionable trading ideas across all asset-classes, sectors and industries. The goal of the service is to provide a one-stop-shop for investment and portfolio ideas, while educating the vibrant community of subscribers. Features of the service include: the Funds Macro Portfolio (only ETFs and CEFs) for less active investors, the Single Macro Portfolio (single equity focused) for more active investors, educational content, and a live chat room to openly discuss ideas with like-minded investors and The Fortune Teller. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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