BP: Once Upon A Wind Farm

Oct. 05, 2020 11:38 AM ETBP p.l.c. (BP) StockBP205 Comments

Summary

  • BP has made a substantial $1.1 bn investment in a nascent wind farm offshore Massachusetts.
  • We think the company could have used this money better paying down debt or meeting its former dividend obligations.
  • We are not recommending the stock at current levels.
  • We also offer a brief discussion of a company we think is much more investible than BP.
  • Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at The Daily Drilling Report. Get started today »

Introduction

BP (NYSE:BP) lost $16.8 bn in the second quarter largely due to $11.8 bn non-cash asset write-downs and poorer realizations for oil and gas, along with reduced margins in refining and chemicals. It was a virtual tour de force of a dismal quarterly read-out, and capped it off with a ~60% reduction in its quarterly dividend payout. Let's be fair. BP has a lot of company in this situation. What was a bit galling was the commentary from senior executives that attended the financial readout.

Did these highly-paid senior executives hang their heads and vow to do better and offer up a specific road map for doing so? Not really. Much of the senior executive commentary avoided direct engagement with current results, and dealt with the "pivot," away from petroleum toward renewable forms of energy.

Helge Lund, BP Board Chairman, commented:

The strategy we announced today has benefited from extensive dialogue with our shareholders. It will change BP from an international oil company to an integrated energy company focused on delivering solutions for our customers and made a necessary step in support of BP’s purpose and ambition.

SA

Hmmm, I was a shareholder at the time. I don't remember Helge dialoguing with me... did any of you get a call from Helge? No matter! Moving on.

In this article we will discuss BP's pivot toward renewables and one aspect in particular, wind energy, where they made a sizable investment in a nascent project along the Atlantic coast. We do not believe the company is investible even at its current price, and that investors should take a long look before taking current BP management on faith.

Note: A more detailed version of this article appeared in the Daily Drilling Report last month.

The investment thesis for BP

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Fluidsdoc is an international oil industry veteran with 40 years of experience having worked on six continents and in over twenty countries around the world. He is an expert in the upstream oilpatch and an energy sector specialist.

He is the leader of the investing group The Daily Drilling Report where he provides investment analysis for the oil and gas industry. Features of the group include: a model portfolio that covers all segments of upstream oilfield activity with weekly updates, ideas for both U.S and international energy companies, coverage from shale to deepwater drillers, technical analysis to identify catalysts, and more. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

This is not advice to buy or sell this stock or ETF. I am not an accountant or CPA or CFA. This article is intended to provide information to interested parties and is in no way a recommendation to buy or sell the securities mentioned. As I have no knowledge of individual investor circumstances, goals, and/or portfolio concentration or diversification, readers are expected to do their own due diligence before investing their hard-earned cash.

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