The Trade Desk: Digital Advertising Beyond The Walled Gardens

Oct. 06, 2020 11:04 AM ETThe Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) StockTTD70 Comments
Trevor Jennewine
971 Followers

Summary

  • Global digital ad spend is expected to reach $333 billion in 2020.
  • The Trade Desk’s platform enables buyers to purchase digital ad space, target ads, and optimize campaigns across display, mobile, social, video, and other media.
  • The Trade Desk’s platform is programmatic, leveraging artificial intelligence and big data to automate the ad buying process.
  • Despite strong competition from the market leaders—Amazon, Google, and Facebook—The Trade Desk is growing quickly and appears to be taking marketshare.
  • The Trade Desk is a buy for longterm investors.

Investment Thesis:

The Trade Desk's (NASDAQ:TTD) platform empowers buyers of digital ad inventory, playing into the pervasive secular trend of digitization. As the largest independent demand-side platform (DSP), The Trade Desk is an excellent long-term investment idea.

My investment thesis is summarized in the following points:

1. The Trade Desk's programmatic platform leverages artificial intelligence and big data to automate and optimize the purchase and targeting of digital ads. This means ad buyers can spend their budget more efficiently.

2. The Trade Desk's market opportunity is enormous. Digital ad spend is expected to grow at 10% annually, to reach $526 billion by 2024. But the programmatic market is growing even faster, indicating that programmatic advertising is taking overall marketshare.

3. The Trade Desk is growing revenue quickly and is profitable on a GAAP basis. Since 2016, revenue has grown at 41% annually, operating cash flow has grown at 30% annually, and free cash flow has grown at 21% annually.

Business Overview:

The Trade Desk provides a cloud-based, demand-side platform (DSP), meaning it's used to buy digital ad inventory. But DSPs not only enable the buying of ads, they also provide the ability to target audiences, set bid parameters, collect and analyze data, and optimize campaign performance.

Before moving on, I'd like to define another term: supply-side platform (SSP). In contrast to DSPs, which help buyers of ad inventory maximize efficacy of ad campaigns and marketing budgets, SSPs help sellers of ad inventory maximize profits.

As a DSP, The Trade Desk facilitates the programmatic purchase of digital ads by allowing users to place real-time bids on available inventory. The Trade Desk can purchase this inventory from over 95 ad exchanges, supply-side platforms, and ad networks.

This means marketers have access to ad impressions across a range of media: websites, mobile applications, social platforms, video, audio, and others. And

This article was written by

971 Followers
PharmD OSU/OHSU, BA Miami (Oxford) UniversityI am a growth-focused individual investor. I place equal focus on qualitative and quantitative research. One of my core beliefs is that the best way to generate market beating returns is to buy high quality companies and, provided the investment thesis remains intact, hold them for long periods of time.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long TTD, AMZN. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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