Stone Harbor Emerging Markets Income Fund: A Second-Look With Expectations Reset

BOOX Research
20.33K Followers

Summary

  • EDF is a closed-end fund that invests primarily in emerging market sovereign debt.
  • Despite a distribution cut earlier this year and a challenging market environment, we see value in the fund with exposure to the upside in emerging markets.
  • Fund yields 14.6% distributed monthly highlighting a compelling income opportunity.

The Stone Harbor Emerging Markets Income Fund (NYSE:EDF) is a closed-end fund that invests in "EM" sovereign debt, corporate bonds, and related derivatives. This is a market segment that has disappointed over the past decade given tepid economic growth further impacted by this year's COVID-19 pandemic. Recognizing what has been a challenging year for the EDF fund with its net asset value down about 12% year to date, and an even deeper decline at the share price considering a widening discount to NAV, we think the underlying portfolio offers value at the current level. EDF's 14.6% yield distributed through a monthly payout represents an attractive income opportunity supported by improving macro conditions for emerging markets.

(Source: finviz.com)

Background

EDF invests primarily in sovereign bonds which represent 90% of the asset allocation across local and external debt. These securities are issued by foreign governments and reflect a country's obligation to repay debt either in the domestic currency or issued in foreign currencies like the U.S. dollar or euro. Separately, over 75% of the fund's exposure is based on U.S. dollar-denominated debt which limits the inherent FX risks related to foreign investments. Based on the latest disclosed holdings, EDF invests in a wide range of emerging markets with a 38% concentration in the Latin America region. Mexico with a 12% weighting represents the largest country exposure, followed by Argentina and South Africa each at 8%.

(Source: Stone Harbor)

What's important here is that while the term "emerging markets" is a broad market segment in its own right, EDF underweights Asian emerging markets and developing countries relative to global benchmarks. Notably, China is not included as an emerging market country in the fund, although there is a small position in Hong Kong-related corporate securities.

(Source: Stone Harbor)

In terms of direct exposure to

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This article was written by

20.33K Followers
BOOX Research run by Dan Victor, CFA specializes in covering small-caps and under-the-radar ideas. Dan brings more than 15 years of experience in financial services across multiple roles in research, investment management, and trading. Dan is also the winner of Seeking Alpha's 2023 stock market prediction contest-- beating out a field of 40 analysts by correctly forecasting the S&P 500's 24% gain that year. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4660791-2023-market-prediction-contest-winners

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long EDF. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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