Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF: In For A Breather

Summary

  • VTWO is a low-cost and well-diversified ETF that gives you access to both value and growth names.
  • Dividends have been cut over the last three quarters and look poised to be cut again in Q4.
  • Intermediate- and short-term signals in The Lead-Lag Report have gone risk-off recently, and pursuing high-beta names such as VTWO (beta of 1.2x) at this juncture may be risky.
  • I do much more than just articles at The Lead-Lag Report: Members get access to model portfolios, regular updates, a chat room, and more. Get started today »

The general theme is one of risk aversion. - Adam Cole

ETF profile and key features

Investors looking for exposure to the US small-cap space may consider the Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (NASDAQ:VTWO), although as I explain later in my piece, an entry at this juncture may not be appropriate. As the name suggests, this fund's mandate is to closely track the Russell 2000 index, and it does an excellent job at this, with a best-in-class efficiency ratio of just 0.10%. VTWO is not as large as the stalwart in this space - iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) (VTWO's AUM is $2.2bn, whilst IWM's AUM is $44.6bn), but the latter has been around for a longer period (IWM has a 20-year history as opposed to VTWO's 10-year history).

Dividends

From an income perspective, you currently get a trailing yield of 1.48%, and until this year, the fund had a decent history of dividend growth (3 years of dividend growth at 10% CAGR). Unfortunately, in 2020, the dividend payouts have been disappointing (the Q1 payout was cut by -28% YoY, Q2 by -29% YoY, and Q3 by -35% YoY). Traditionally, the payouts in December have been the highest, but considering that the ETF is close to all-time highs, and the current dividend yield is still higher than the 4-year average dividend yield, I would expect the Q4 dividend payout to be cut on an annual basis, to bring further normalization in the yield. If you get in now, you're probably on course to receive a sub-standard income yield.

A blended ETF

There's been a lot of debate in recent weeks over the gap between growth and value stocks; as I mentioned recently in the Lead-Lag Report, given the overheated nature of the growth cohort and the wide divergence with value, it may be an opportune

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This article was written by

30.59K Followers
Michael A. Gayed is portfolio manager, and author of five award-winning research papers on market anomalies and investing. He has a BS with a double major in Finance & Management from NYU Stern School of Business, and is a CFA Charterholder. Michael runs the investing group The Lead-Lag Report, focused on helping investors outperform in all market conditions. It offers a tactical, data-driven approach to investing, to achieve long-term success even in the face of uncertainty. With increasing market volatility, it's essential to understand risk-on/risk-off signals, seize high-yield opportunities, and leverage award-winning research to maximize returns. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

This writing is for informational purposes only and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC undertakes no obligation to update this article even if the opinions expressed change. It does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation regarding any securities transaction. It also does not offer to provide advisory or other services in any jurisdiction. The information contained in this writing should not be construed as financial or investment advice on any subject matter. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims all liability in respect to actions taken based on any or all of the information on this writing.

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