Tegna: A Record 2020 Deserves A Higher Share Price

Dec. 11, 2020 8:02 AM ETTEGNA Inc. (TGNA) Stock, , , 2 Comments
Joris Gijzendorffen
455 Followers

Summary

  • Tegna has consistently shown revenue growth over the last years.
  • 2020 will be a record year with the high levels of political ad revenue, subscription revenue growth, and quick recovery of the non-political advertising and marketing services revenue.
  • Share price is currently attractive and around 25% below the $20/share that Gray Television offered when it attempted to buy Tegna earlier this year.
  • Tegna has control over the operating expenses while showing the substantial top-line growth.
  • The current share price is 25% below the offer that was made by Gray Television in March 2020 and this year will be a record year. Also, Q1 looks promising with the elections in Georgia. I'm bullish on Tegna and have initiated a small long position.

"Tegna (NYSE:TGNA) is part of a sector that is quickly approaching the end of the lifecycle. It's a waste of effort for investors to talk or write about traditional broadcasters. Why assess a broadcaster, let alone buy shares? Better put your money in Netflix (NFLX) and Alphabet (GOOG). Or pick Chicken Soup for the Soul Entertainment (CSSE), if you're in an adventurous mood." This is what investors may think in this era of streaming and OTT-services. One proof of this is the low number of articles about broadcasters in comparison with the coverage of companies like Netflix and Alphabet.

Yet, over the last couple of months, while writing a series of articles about broadcasters, I came to a completely different conclusion in comparison with that dark perspective on the sector. Sure, there is the key challenge of this digital age where advertisers have many alternatives to linear TV, but there's also broadcasting companies that are still growing nicely despite the downward pressure on advertising revenue. Nexstar (NXST) and Gray Television (GTN) (GTN.A) are two examples of that in the US. They've acquired growth and also benefitted from organic growth in retransmission business and political advertising. On top of that, the shares are now trading well below the all-time highs because of the pandemic dip in March. Similar findings are valid for some of the European peers. My reviews of European and US broadcasters concluded that there are definitely investments in broadcasting worth considering.

Following my recent articles about Nexstar and Gray Television, a next logical broadcaster to cover was Tegna. So, this article will see if that is also one of those broadcasters that are doing well and even merit a long position.

My investment thesis for assessing if it makes sense to invest in a broadcaster like Tegna is

This article was written by

455 Followers
TMT sector professional. Over 20 years of experience working in the sector in Europe and outside Europe. Decade of investing experience to keep in close touch with companies and themes that are relevant for my work.Companies where I worked are among others: KPN, Chellomedia, Liberty Global, UPC Cablecom Switzerland, Get Sweden, Ooredoo Middle East, Cell C South Africa, Du Dubai, Axiata South East Asia, Celcom Malaysia, Vodafone.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long TGNA. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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