PlayAGS: A Challenged Gaming Equipment Maker Presenting A Classic Dice Roll For Savvy Speculators

Dec. 24, 2020 2:30 PM ETPlayAGS, Inc. (AGS) StockIGT, LNW, AGS4 Comments

Summary

  • This niche player in the gaming equipment space survives in a sector of giants. It looks very cheap here - but comes with warning labels.
  • We will detail its niche in tribal casino revenue sharing deals. Its equipment and systems products are competitive and player friendly.
  • The company has weathered the pandemic storm thus far but at the same time faces a class action suit by investors in its IPO in 2019.
  • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of The House Edge get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Get started today »

“I found that I not only tolerated risks, but I loved it….”

William Simon, US Secretary of the Treasury (1974-1977)

At various times in my long gaming career I have been a customer, a consultant and an analyst in the slot machine business. As a gaming executive beginning in the 1980s I checked out casino floors which still, in dead zones, had a row of the old “narrow body” Mills-Jennings slots. Those antiques dated back to Las Vegas movie scenes I remember as a kid with handles that cranked like old Model T Fords when pulled. As technology exploded, they were swept away by the new “wide body” models manufactured by leaders like the old Ballys, the Aristocrats out of Australia, the Universals out of Japan. All had new bells and whistles to enhance playability. And then came the breakaway video pokers and blackjack machines by upstart International Game Technology(IGT). Their stock quickly became a Wall Street darling because of the speed with which they became popular and spread over casino floors globally.

I cite this background to put context into the rationale I brought to an SA article on PlayAGS (NYSE:AGS) I published on May 14,2019. That day the stock was trading at $20.19. My thesis then was this: In a world of giants, this was one little engine that could, a company that established at nice niche leasing revenue sharing slots in tribal casinos with highly playable equipment, among other reasons.

Now a year and a half later, the stock is trading today at $6.50, a huge miss on my part but one with a traceable history of unknown headwinds at the time of my call. No excuses here, it is what it is. Since then I have followed the gaming machine sub-sector and taken another look at PlayAGS (

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This article was written by

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Howard Jay Klein has 30 years of experience as an executive and consultant in major casino operations. His background includes: Ballys, Trump Taj Mahal, Mohegan Sun, and Caesars Palace in Las Vegas. He is a value investor first, using management quality to inform his investment ideas. Howard is the leader of the investing group The House Edge where he shares actionable research for investing in the casino, online betting and entertainment industries. His intelligence network is extensive throughout the US gambling and entertainment sectors from customer facing employees, to mid-management to csuite senior managers and boards.

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Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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