ACWI: Not An Optimal Choice

Jan. 19, 2021 3:08 AM ETiShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI)ACWI1 Comment
Vasily Zyryanov
2.13K Followers

Summary

  • At first glance, investing in an ETF that is designed to track an all-country index looks like an optimal way to diversify a portfolio.
  • The issue here is that the bulk of ACWI's net assets, or 57.5%, is U.S. equities.
  • China, which was responsible for 17.7% of the 2020 estimated global GDP, has only a 5.29% weight, while Japan, the third-largest economy, has a 6.82% weight.
  • For those investors who seek to cut exposure to the U.S. while having a balanced international footprint that is supposed to reduce risks and improve returns, I reckon it would be reasonable to consider VEU or ACWX.

In December, I published a note on the iShares MSCI World ETF (URTH), a fund that is supposed to provide exposure to global equities. At least, its name implies so. Upon deeper inspection, it appears that the index it tracks was designed to reflect the performance of equities from advanced economies only, while it is also exceedingly overweight in U.S. stocks, and thus holding it makes no sense for those American investors who seek diversification and risk dispersion and already have portfolios overweight in domestic stocks.

Today, I would like to take a look at its alternative: the iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (NASDAQ:ACWI), which tracks the MSCI All Country World Index. Unfortunately, the ETF has precisely the same issues.

Questionable diversification

ACWI is an exchange-traded fund that has an All Country World Index at the crux. A promising name, isn't it? Does that look almost ideal for an investor who does not want to perform a scrupulous and sophisticated macro analysis and stock screening and instead simply allocates a portion of income to a portfolio of stocks from across the world (perhaps, the simplest passive investment strategy possible)? Yes, at first glance, investing in an ETF that is designed to track an index that has exposure to 23 developed and 27 emerging economies and that "covers ~85% of the global investable equity opportunity set" with equities from the upper- and mid-echelon looks like an optimal way to diversify a portfolio. An investor can benefit from a 5.2% global real GDP growth this year that is anticipated by the International Monetary Fund (or a more conservative 4% growth rate that the World Bank considers likely), while also minimizing possible side effects of the asymmetric recovery across the globe, as some economies, like China, India, and Spain, to name a few, are due to delivering a high-single-digit growth, while Japan, for

This article was written by

2.13K Followers
Vasily Zyryanov is an individual investor and writer.He uses various techniques to find both relatively underpriced equities with strong upside potential and relatively overappreciated companies that have inflated valuation for a reason.In his research, he pays much attention to the energy sector (oil & gas supermajors, mid-cap, and small-cap exploration & production companies, the oilfield services firms), while he also covers a plethora of other industries from mining and chemicals to luxury bellwethers.He firmly believes that apart from simple profit and sales analysis, a meticulous investor must assess Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital to gain deeper insights and avoid sophomoric conclusions.While he favors underappreciated and misunderstood equities, he also acknowledges that some growth stocks do deserve their premium valuation, and its an investor's primary goal to delve deeper and uncover if the market's current opinion is correct or not.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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