Schrodinger: A Long-Term Compounder With A Literally Unlimited TAM

Jan. 22, 2021 4:53 AM ETSchrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) StockSDGR66 Comments
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Summary

  • Schrodinger is an exciting, next generation drug development and software player. However, at its core, it is a molecular modelling company, leading to vast opportunities.
  • The TAM of the markets in which they can participate is basically unlimited.
  • The model they use in drug development allows them to capture upfront, recurring revenue and equity investments in their partners.
  • The company's stock has run up high as of late; however, at this stage I am comfortable to buy and hold for at least a decade due to the potential.

In this article I would like to discuss a somewhat underfollowed company with the potential to serve basically every material industry on the planet.

Schrodinger (NASDAQ:SDGR) at it's core, is a software and computing company. The company formally competes in a market called molecular modelling and if you are confused as to what exactly that means, you are not alone.

Schrodinger essentially takes billions of known molecules and uses a physics based computational system along with AI to predict which molecules in combination should achieve a specific desired result. This can be applied to numerous different materials. However, the company has chosen to focus on drug development for its opening act as a public company.

This approach, that they have pioneered is head and shoulders ahead of what was and still is basically a hope and pray approach to drug development. To use an analogy, drug and material development prior to Schrodinger's approach was like trying to find your car keys in the dark. Schrodinger's platform is akin to wearing night vision goggles.

The company can further use its physics-based approach to determine potential side effects of specific medicines and potential interactions with other drugs, theoretically limiting adverse events during the clinical phase.

Not only does the company's approach simply make sense, it currently is able to save roughly 50% of a drug company's most precious resource, time!

Source: Schrödinger

And this technology is truly just in its infancy. Schrodinger's technology improves incrementally with each compound it simulates even without greater computational advancements due to the fact that with each molecule modelled, the better the end data becomes.

The pot of gold at the end of this rainbow is simply the data. Once Schrodinger is able to predict and model each of the countless billions of molecules available with precise accuracy, it

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I work in the financial and property management industry for a well known, publicly traded "mini Berkshire" Insurance company. I focus on portfolio structure, value, reasonably priced growth, tech and biotech spaces. I passed the series 6 and 7 exams at age 18 but do not at this time have active licenses.My passion for investing and personal finance education began at a very early age. I opened my first brokerage account at the age of 12 and have invested through crashes, crises, recessions and bubbles. I have made many mistakes in both my personal and investing lives, however, each mistake I have made has taught me valuable lessons on my journey, both in life and towards financial independence. As of March 2023, my total portfolio has compounded at 10.2% per year since 1993, beating the S&P 500's return of 9.87% over the same time period. I do not currently hold active licenses and I am not a financial advisor and do not give out or publish investment advice. Articles I write are my opinion only and are not solicitations, please seek guidance from a licensed financial advisor before investing in any security. Opinions expressed in my articles are my own and do not reflect or indicate any positions or opinions held of my primary employer.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long SDGR. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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