Meredith: The Market Isn't Giving It Enough Credit

Jan. 25, 2021 8:25 AM ETGray Media, Inc. (GTN) StockGTN10 Comments
Amit Ghate
4.85K Followers

Summary

  • As with so many companies, Meredith was hammered by the macro effects of Covid-19.
  • The company responded with many new initiatives and has increased cash flow back to pre-Covid-19 levels.
  • Debt is still a concern, but I believe the company's focus on debt reduction will be successful and that shareholders will soon be rewarded.

Most of my articles tend to be long and rather involved. Today's idea is a bit of a departure from that. Today, I'd like to share why I think Meredith Corporation (MDP) is a buy at current prices. My basic thesis is that MDP has managed to weather the Covid-19 storm very well, yet that accomplishment hasn't yet been reflected in the stock price.

If the company continues to generate positive cash flows, as I believe it will, then it can de-lever its balance sheet and the equity will benefit disproportionately given the company's low market cap / EV ratio.

Meredith

Meredith is a media company operating in two segments.

(source)

The "National Media" segment features a number of consumer brands such as "People", "AllRecipes", "Entertainment Weekly", "Better Homes & Gardens" and "InStyle".

These brands allow MDP to reach more women than any other comparable media company, as illustrated in the slide below.

(source)

The "Local Media" segment operates 17 television stations that include 7 CBS affiliates, 5 FOX affiliates, 2 MyNetworkTV affiliates, 1 NBC affiliate, 1 ABC affiliate, and 2 independent stations. It also includes 12 Websites and 12 applications focused on news, sports, and weather-related information. (From company profile.)

The company has suffered from running a dying legacy business in print, but I believe that the number of initiatives that the company is adopting will not only leverage their existing assets, but should position them for future growth.

Many of these initiatives were discussed on the recent earnings call, so for interested readers, I recommend reading the entire transcript, but in the following, I will highlight what I believe to be the most salient points.

The following two slides layout how the company is thinking about these new opportunities. The first slide shows all of the new ways that

This article was written by

4.85K Followers
I'm a private trader interested in both long and short ideas. My training and background are in engineering including several decades of consulting engineering practice. I endeavor to apply my analytical skills to investing/trading, which I've done for 20+ years and to which I bring a contrarian style. I've also recently become interested in writing and have published editorials at Forbes, PJM, and a few legacy newspapers.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I am/we are long MDP. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I actively trade around core positions.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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