American Tower: A Great Autopilot Stock

Josh Arnold
24.79K Followers

Summary

  • AMT shares have been in a protracted downtrend.
  • With FFO estimates rising, that has greatly improved the valuation.
  • With superb dividend growth as well, AMT is a buy.

Image source

REITs have been a pretty awful place to have your money since the pandemic hit. Just about any other group I can think of has outperformed REITs as they’ve been left in the proverbial dust by the broader market, and in particular, growth stocks. However, that has created a few situations where leaders in the space find themselves with reasonable valuations, and intact long-term stories. One such example is American Tower (NYSE:AMT).

AMT has been in a downtrend since the summer of last year and while that’s certainly been unpleasant for shareholders – as the indices have soared – if you have new money to invest for the long-term, AMT looks pretty attractive to my eye.

The stock is currently in an uptrend that has taken out the prior relative high, so that’s a good sign that $210 may have been the bottom. There are numerous resistance levels overhead, but given the value proposition for AMT today, I’m less concerned about the chart and am more enticed by the valuation and the dividend growth potential. If you’re on the hunt for a REIT to buy, AMT has to be on your list.

A model with long-term upside

AMT operates a really simple business model; it buys and operates telecom real estate and leases it out to tenants that need to transmit data wirelessly.

Source: Investor presentation

As you can see, AMT buys the ground and builds a tower, and then the tenant buys pretty much everything else. In return, AMT gets leasing revenue for the tower which is very high margin, and margins improve exponentially as AMT adds more tenants to each tower.

Source: Investor presentation

This example shows how AMT can build a tower in a desirable spot and lease it to multiple tenants over time given

This article was written by

24.79K Followers
Josh Arnold has been covering financial markets for a decade, utilizing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to identify potential winners early on in their growth cycles. Josh's focus is mainly on growth stocks. His goal is efficient and profitable use of capital, which overly rigid buy-and-hold strategies do not allow. Josh is the leader of the investing group Timely Trader where he focuses on limiting risk and maximizing potential reward. Features of Timely Trader include: real-time alerts, a model portfolio, technical charts, sentiment indicators, and sector analysis to find the best trading opportunities. Learn more.

Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in AMT over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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