EM Currencies Remain Resilient As U.S. Rates Stay High

Jun. 29, 2023 2:35 AM ET, , , , ,
VanEck
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Summary

  • Emerging markets local currencies have been resilient in 2023 despite surging U.S. rates, with 19 out of 20 countries in the index having positive local returns this year.
  • Despite significantly higher rates for the foreseeable future, however, the U.S. dollar has exhibited weakness since the third quarter of 2022 against emerging markets currencies (EMFX).
  • Through June 16, 2023, EMFX has provided a year-to-date return of 2.5%, with 13 of the 20 countries in the J.P. Morgan GBI-EM Global Core Index providing a positive return from a currency perspective.

Emerging Markets

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Emerging markets local currencies have been resilient in 2023 despite surging U.S. rates, with 19 out of 20 countries in the index having positive local returns this year.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision this month to keep rates steady

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